Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 144.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaeb5217a53bc29657504c515e7c007653e98e4fd8393b2b20d6b5fc8f63c6590
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,199
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,271
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,199 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe76f…1eacbacked Under | 54c | 2,056$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.96 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 45c | 933.97$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.64 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 670.3$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.72 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 44c | 336$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.84 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 55c | 185$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.25 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Under | 52c | 125$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked Over | 45c | 90.2$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -54%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Under | 55c | 89$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.05 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 48c | 65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 72c | 52.07$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb385…c1a4backed Over | 48c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…e17cbacked Over | 48c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed Over | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d2…dc9bbacked Over | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Under | 75c | 21.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +7.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x00f6…c5d2backed Over | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 144.5this page
- Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa HawkeyesIllinois Fighting Illini won
- Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 140.5Over won
- Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 142.5Over won
- Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 143.5Over won
- Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 145.5Under won
- Spread: Iowa Hawkeyes (-1.5)Illinois Fighting Illini won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.