TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Illinois Fighting Illiniof Illinois Fighting Illini, Iowa Hawkeyes
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$125,099
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$159,624

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,099 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb7f5…c669backed Iowa Hawkeyes45c8,710$3,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,929.5136944.2%163 W · 206 L-19.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7690…74e1backed Illinois Fighting Illini53c8,500$4,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9952157.1%12 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Iowa Hawkeyes10c4,140$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.1814021.4%30 W · 110 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Iowa Hawkeyes9c3,964$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.785,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Illinois Fighting Illini71c3,827$2,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,123.675,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Iowa Hawkeyes4c3,676$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.681,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Iowa Hawkeyes15c2,745$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.431,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Iowa Hawkeyes48c2,421$1,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,172.161,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Iowa Hawkeyes11c2,033$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.192,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Illinois Fighting Illini51c1,959$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.1312,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00e0…8a94backed Iowa Hawkeyes5c1,940$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.623028.3%65 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Illinois Fighting Illini53c1,940$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.7260548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Illinois Fighting Illini54c1,815$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.7416135.4%57 W · 104 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Iowa Hawkeyes8c1,728$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.7149043.1%211 W · 279 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ae…f107backed Iowa Hawkeyes31c1,413$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.6642327.2%115 W · 308 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Iowa Hawkeyes8c1,131$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.422,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Iowa Hawkeyes13c1,089$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.9673549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Iowa Hawkeyes47c1,065$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.31,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d91…5c46backed Iowa Hawkeyes2c1,050$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2150%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c81…fce3backed Iowa Hawkeyes36c1,000$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.932277.3%17 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Illinois Fighting Illini77c914.75$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.733,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d54…ca11backed Iowa Hawkeyes13c854.74$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.02425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-41.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Iowa Hawkeyes46c827.99$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.8715851.9%82 W · 76 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Iowa Hawkeyes49c799.99$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.9910448.1%50 W · 54 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Iowa Hawkeyes11c742$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.841,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Iowa Hawkeyes37c711.56$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.331,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Illinois Fighting Illini51c685.17$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.082,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Iowa Hawkeyes3c627.28$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.979412.8%12 W · 82 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-44.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Illinois Fighting Illini50c547.4$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.251,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Iowa Hawkeyes22c459.88$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.832,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28ad…0614backed Iowa Hawkeyes3c443.9$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1212034.2%41 W · 79 L-13.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-33.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Iowa Hawkeyes24c438.7$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.123,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4dc…0da7backed Iowa Hawkeyes11c375.36$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4150%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Iowa Hawkeyes50c338.2$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.122250.9%113 W · 109 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Iowa Hawkeyes36c333.68$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1209037.8%34 W · 56 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4964…a330backed Iowa Hawkeyes16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502050%10 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f78…bfcabacked Iowa Hawkeyes7c304.65$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.244517.8%8 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-61%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Iowa Hawkeyes41c300$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.621,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Iowa Hawkeyes10c292.74$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…6a50backed Iowa Hawkeyes53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Iowa Hawkeyes23c279.46$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4445644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Iowa Hawkeyes50c262.8$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.41,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e28…df76backed Iowa Hawkeyes48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-37.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb90…8dd8backed Iowa Hawkeyes4c240$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.551637.5%6 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick21cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe1f5…8be3backed Iowa Hawkeyes43c233.02$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.912733.9%43 W · 84 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Iowa Hawkeyes11c231.19$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9138343.6%167 W · 216 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Iowa Hawkeyes28c210.12$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5757335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8214…ef72backed Iowa Hawkeyes49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019446.4%90 W · 104 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Iowa Hawkeyes54c186.51$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10048462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed Iowa Hawkeyes6c172.1$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8710049%49 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc479…e938backed Iowa Hawkeyes13c147.62$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19214.8%1 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick18cpaid-93.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdeb5…0a32backed Iowa Hawkeyes17c130.41$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1720%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd24…9ebebacked Iowa Hawkeyes11c126$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b90…3d27backed Iowa Hawkeyes15c125.43$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7617122.8%39 W · 132 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c10…4e76backed Iowa Hawkeyes16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020024%48 W · 152 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f78…d7c1backed Iowa Hawkeyes16c122.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202030%6 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e2d…40b1backed Iowa Hawkeyes50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603821.1%8 W · 30 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-39.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Iowa Hawkeyes51c117.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6049849.6%247 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8eeb…3a88backed Iowa Hawkeyes29c110$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.811127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-34.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Illinois Fighting Illini55c109.23$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5653646.5%249 W · 287 L-24.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa05…69e3backed Iowa Hawkeyes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.11346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Iowa Hawkeyes47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.232343%139 W · 184 L-18.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e11…8475backed Iowa Hawkeyes48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Iowa Hawkeyes22c97.72$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8130746.3%142 W · 165 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Illinois Fighting Illini72c97.54$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.121,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d70…46f8backed Iowa Hawkeyes52c96.51$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Illinois Fighting Illini66c89.54$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.494,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa134…3ba2backed Iowa Hawkeyes19c87.62$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.08742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca73…b02ebacked Iowa Hawkeyes17c87.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151010%1 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Illinois Fighting Illini53c84.91$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9124649.6%122 W · 124 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Illinois Fighting Illini57c84.3$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.356940.6%28 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb75e…1737backed Illinois Fighting Illini56c83.34$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.72862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Iowa Hawkeyes34c74.46$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6123544.7%105 W · 130 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c34…c8b8backed Iowa Hawkeyes34c72$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5414339.9%57 W · 86 L-0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Illinois Fighting Illini46c65$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.12,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3a…d5b0backed Illinois Fighting Illini54c57.41$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.41742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick65cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa54e…4775backed Iowa Hawkeyes18c56.53$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-33.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22ad…c3c9backed Illinois Fighting Illini54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+37.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xabf6…129dbacked Illinois Fighting Illini54c37.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2612153.7%65 W · 56 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Illinois Fighting Illini52c35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.810652.8%56 W · 50 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8643…85b2backed Iowa Hawkeyes49c33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.172853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba34…7e93backed Illinois Fighting Illini75c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.431553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed Iowa Hawkeyes46c28.74$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2221535.3%76 W · 139 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41e8…5394backed Illinois Fighting Illini53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.31163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+23.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfacd…d470backed Iowa Hawkeyes48c21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0810464.4%67 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58d2…5cc1backed Illinois Fighting Illini68c20.66$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafd7…f634backed Illinois Fighting Illini52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.