College Football · resolved market
Florida International vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 61.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeada76e7b36d3d2e724876eefb81fa1ca90410fdb3f3daae764d0087782a3af4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,420
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,479
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,420 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 49c | 30,529$15,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,439.12 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9b…945abacked Under | 51c | 29,345$14,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,966.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 51c | 12,500$6,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,374.99 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 11,765$5,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,958.75 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Under | 48c | 5,634$2,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,691.67 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Under | 50c | 5,405$2,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,702.65 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 50c | 5,300$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650.21 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 52c | 5,236$2,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,513.28 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed30…f821backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 190 | 43.2%82 W · 108 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…1eacbacked Under | 50c | 1,949$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Under | 51c | 1,204$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.04 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Under | 51c | 548.28$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.62 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Over | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Over | 49c | 386.14$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.93 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Over | 50c | 250.03$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.01 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…c3eabacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +11.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 174 | 50%87 W · 87 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 50c | 96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4703…ce7fbacked Under | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c58…8c00backed Under | 51c | 78.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.06 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Under | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x648c…09c6backed Over | 54c | 76.25$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.07 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Over | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…2d96backed Over | 50c | 58.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe05b…0912backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +38%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef2…6e74backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Over | 51c | 39.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Over | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Florida International vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 61.5this page
- Florida International vs. UTSA RoadrunnersUTSA Roadrunners won
- Florida International vs. UTSA Roadrunners: 1H MoneylineUTSA Roadrunners won
- Florida International vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 60.5Over won
- Florida International vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 62.5Over won
- O/U 59.5Over won
- Spread: UTSA Roadrunners (-5.5)UTSA Roadrunners won
- Spread: UTSA Roadrunners (-5.5)UTSA Roadrunners won
- Spread: UTSA Roadrunners (-6.5)UTSA Roadrunners won
- Spread: UTSA Roadrunners (-7.5)UTSA Roadrunners won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.