Spread: UTSA Roadrunners (-5.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x792574b2732dbcb537caf1f77abf2cd25b3a8116f1ceb526571d65fc9648ee46

Rebuilt 18 hours ago.

Winning outcome: UTSA Roadrunnersof UTSA Roadrunners, Florida International
Resolved: Dec 27, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $35,019
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $36,058

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,019 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in College Football
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1496…a429backed Florida International	47c	15,450$7,261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,261.49	210	55.2%116 W · 94 L	+13.3wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked UTSA Roadrunners	53c	11,903$6,309 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,594.41	118	49.2%58 W · 60 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Florida International	45c	11,179$5,073 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,073.31	2,013	49.6%999 W · 1,014 L	+24.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed UTSA Roadrunners	51c	8,229$4,197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,032.71	935	48.4%453 W · 482 L	+11.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed UTSA Roadrunners	59c	5,908$3,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,408.25	38	55.3%21 W · 17 L	+2.8wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed UTSA Roadrunners	57c	878.07$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$378.07	38	52.6%20 W · 18 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Florida International	43c	833.07$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$358.47	485	46.8%227 W · 258 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed UTSA Roadrunners	53c	811$430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$381.17	261	47.9%125 W · 136 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf642…0c19backed UTSA Roadrunners	58c	429.31$249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.31	51	47.1%24 W · 27 L	+4.9wins	+0.10per pick	37cpaid	+22.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Florida International	42c	250$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	59	42.4%25 W · 34 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked UTSA Roadrunners	57c	238.1$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.1	41	58.5%24 W · 17 L	+4.4wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+27%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd4cf…2d96backed Florida International	49c	220.21$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.53	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x216f…9b1ebacked Florida International	43c	174$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.82	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf4dc…d394backed Florida International	45c	172$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.4	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Florida International	47c	134.02$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.9	103	40.8%42 W · 61 L	+6.2wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x00fe…eff7backed Florida International	41c	121$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.61	8	50%4 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb100…dce6backed Florida International	45c	107$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.15	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x470e…07c0backed Florida International	44c	106$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.64	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0e6…71e4backed Florida International	44c	105$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.2	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x102f…9b6ebacked Florida International	44c	102$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.88	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed Florida International	46c	99$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.87	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Florida International	49c	96.99$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.35	115	45.2%52 W · 63 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b33…8c31backed Florida International	48c	94.35$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.29	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+1.7wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e46…0742backed UTSA Roadrunners	53c	94.34$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.34	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x68e0…a3a6backed Florida International	45c	92$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.4	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+2.4wins	+0.19per pick	51cpaid	+31.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed Florida International	43c	92$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.56	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb87…88d1backed Florida International	50c	84$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27ed…57ebbacked Florida International	42c	83$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.86	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+2.3wins	+0.15per pick	51cpaid	+30%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc856…0aa5backed UTSA Roadrunners	55c	83$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.97	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.19per pick	48cpaid	+39%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c58…8c00backed Florida International	49c	76.53$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.21	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-5.1wins	-0.23per pick	51cpaid	-51.8%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6e4f…243cbacked Florida International	44c	74$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.56	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Florida International	46c	66$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.36	27	14.8%4 W · 23 L	-7.7wins	-0.28per pick	43cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	34-0.15 edge/pick
0xd647…9c8fbacked UTSA Roadrunners	57c	60$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.56	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9773…67e8backed Florida International	50c	56$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.3wins	+0.12per pick	52cpaid	+31.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6919…d27bbacked Florida International	44c	50$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	73	32.9%24 W · 49 L	-7.9wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3f91…20ccbacked Florida International	44c	50$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba36…52d0backed Florida International	42c	50$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+2.2wins	+0.22per pick	48cpaid	+43%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d6e…148bbacked UTSA Roadrunners	55c	49$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.05	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf9…142bbacked UTSA Roadrunners	56c	47$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.58	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x68e8…4facbacked UTSA Roadrunners	56c	47$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.68	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-2.0wins	-0.14per pick	50cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc07…e9f2backed UTSA Roadrunners	56c	46$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.24	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e78…fcb4backed UTSA Roadrunners	56c	43$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf447…3fe7backed UTSA Roadrunners	57c	43$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.49	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.6wins	+0.32per pick	48cpaid	+62.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Florida International	27c	40$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.6	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…de52backed UTSA Roadrunners	56c	39$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.16	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.19per pick	52cpaid	+32.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf06a…cfdabacked UTSA Roadrunners	57c	38$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.34	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe13a…6bb5backed UTSA Roadrunners	55c	36$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.2	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.14per pick	49cpaid	+24%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4d0…9b74backed UTSA Roadrunners	55c	35$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.75	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.14per pick	52cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe91…4462backed UTSA Roadrunners	57c	33$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.19	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d19…8b58backed UTSA Roadrunners	56c	32$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.08	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.17per pick	57cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…2f86backed UTSA Roadrunners	56c	31$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.64	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Florida International	50c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	108	50.9%55 W · 53 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xb385…c1a4backed UTSA Roadrunners	57c	30$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.9	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7500…ae85backed UTSA Roadrunners	57c	30$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.9	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5df7…a8edbacked UTSA Roadrunners	51c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.7	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.20per pick	53cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda6e…e417backed UTSA Roadrunners	55c	29$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.05	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.8wins	-0.26per pick	54cpaid	-46.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x934a…9096backed UTSA Roadrunners	57c	28$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.04	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.21per pick	50cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdfa9…7097backed UTSA Roadrunners	56c	28$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.32	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6014…5a58backed UTSA Roadrunners	56c	27$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.88	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbe8…47f8backed UTSA Roadrunners	55c	27$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.15	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.23per pick	48cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x859a…1ccebacked UTSA Roadrunners	58c	27$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.34	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xae69…0c24backed UTSA Roadrunners	56c	26$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.44	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.16per pick	52cpaid	-30%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f57…6d41backed UTSA Roadrunners	59c	25$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.25	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.13per pick	50cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1313…866abacked UTSA Roadrunners	58c	25$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.58	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	48cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc86f…341dbacked UTSA Roadrunners	51c	25$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.25	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.18per pick	48cpaid	+33.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x315a…b24cbacked UTSA Roadrunners	59c	24$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.84	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.24per pick	52cpaid	+41.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd26c…fc57backed UTSA Roadrunners	59c	24$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.84	8	50%4 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x92bf…0297backed UTSA Roadrunners	59c	24$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.84	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f33…8f17backed UTSA Roadrunners	59c	24$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.84	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-4.3wins	-0.33per pick	48cpaid	-69.5%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x2342…d7cebacked UTSA Roadrunners	56c	23$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.12	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.24per pick	49cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf673…be20backed UTSA Roadrunners	53c	22.64$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.64	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5266…ddaebacked UTSA Roadrunners	50c	22$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+17%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd104…0c60backed UTSA Roadrunners	55c	22$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.9	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x888b…8f3fbacked UTSA Roadrunners	55c	22$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.9	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+26%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9f6…9cdabacked UTSA Roadrunners	50c	21$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.5	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.9wins	+0.24per pick	51cpaid	+47%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa2b5…694ebacked UTSA Roadrunners	50c	21$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.5	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.24per pick	51cpaid	+43.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4182…ae54backed UTSA Roadrunners	55c	21$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.45	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.26per pick	49cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cfd…9f5abacked UTSA Roadrunners	53c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.46	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed UTSA Roadrunners	61c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.8	269	40.5%109 W · 160 L	-5.5wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d78…4756backed UTSA Roadrunners	57c	19$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.17	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: UTSA Roadrunners (-5.5)this page
Florida International vs. UTSA RoadrunnersUTSA Roadrunners won
Florida International vs. UTSA Roadrunners: 1H MoneylineUTSA Roadrunners won
Florida International vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 60.5Over won
Florida International vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 61.5Over won
Florida International vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 62.5Over won
O/U 59.5Over won
Spread: UTSA Roadrunners (-5.5)UTSA Roadrunners won
Spread: UTSA Roadrunners (-6.5)UTSA Roadrunners won
Spread: UTSA Roadrunners (-7.5)UTSA Roadrunners won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: UTSA Roadrunners (-5.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event