College Football · resolved market
Spread: UTSA Roadrunners (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67e650fec165c5a415dc0d7506a38095c7dc7ffe7f0cf54f57965e2535595b24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UTSA Roadrunnersof UTSA Roadrunners, Florida International
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,339
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,376
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,339 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Florida International | 44c | 15,207$6,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,663.75 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…89b9backed UTSA Roadrunners | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Florida International | 47c | 6,316$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 53c | 5,846$3,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,775.58 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed UTSA Roadrunners | 58c | 5,555$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,354.79 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Florida International | 46c | 3,096$1,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,423.61 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed UTSA Roadrunners | 52c | 2,817$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.17 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Florida International | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Florida International | 44c | 1,671$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.16 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Florida International | 51c | 1,568$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.68 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed UTSA Roadrunners | 55c | 916.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.4 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +8.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Florida International | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Florida International | 49c | 499.99$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a45…41f6backed Florida International | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 53c | 300.03$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.87 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Florida International | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11c1…7fe5backed Florida International | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Florida International | 50c | 205$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.17 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Florida International | 49c | 128.98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +11.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Florida International | 46c | 128$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed UTSA Roadrunners | 52c | 102.73$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.83 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed UTSA Roadrunners | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Florida International | 47c | 91$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255f…dad2backed Florida International | 50c | 81.28$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 55c | 71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Florida International | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Florida International | 48c | 53.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Florida International | 50c | 53.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed UTSA Roadrunners | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed UTSA Roadrunners | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…6d41backed UTSA Roadrunners | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed UTSA Roadrunners | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0297backed UTSA Roadrunners | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed UTSA Roadrunners | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Florida International | 50c | 47.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…2d96backed Florida International | 47c | 46.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…4c2cbacked Florida International | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Florida International | 53c | 43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed UTSA Roadrunners | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Florida International | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Florida International | 72c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Florida International | 45c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Florida International | 53c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…1866backed UTSA Roadrunners | 54c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c58…8c00backed Florida International | 47c | 28.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed UTSA Roadrunners | 47c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x749b…48d8backed UTSA Roadrunners | 53c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bd…2bf8backed Florida International | 44c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…93f4backed UTSA Roadrunners | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Florida International | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…390fbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…dbd8backed UTSA Roadrunners | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: UTSA Roadrunners (-6.5)this page
- Florida International vs. UTSA RoadrunnersUTSA Roadrunners won
- Florida International vs. UTSA Roadrunners: 1H MoneylineUTSA Roadrunners won
- Florida International vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 60.5Over won
- Florida International vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 61.5Over won
- Florida International vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 62.5Over won
- O/U 59.5Over won
- Spread: UTSA Roadrunners (-5.5)UTSA Roadrunners won
- Spread: UTSA Roadrunners (-5.5)UTSA Roadrunners won
- Spread: UTSA Roadrunners (-7.5)UTSA Roadrunners won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.