College Football · resolved market
Florida International vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 60.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85bfbbdae02bb55f4c2b91bbfb1098e1d6782d8c1a10611aac27959ad43436db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,793
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,679
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,793 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Under | 46c | 3,913$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 54c | 2,770$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.47 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Over | 56c | 900.87$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.87 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Over | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +11.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Under | 44c | 331$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.83 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 56c | 286$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.84 | 244 | 36.9%90 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Under | 44c | 143$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.99 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Under | 50c | 137$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Under | 44c | 135$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Under | 46c | 121$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.66 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Under | 45c | 101$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…9c83backed Under | 46c | 97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Under | 44c | 79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…c992backed Over | 55c | 79$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 52c | 66.08$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.72 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Under | 45c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -7.7wins | -0.28per pick | 43cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Under | 45c | 62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x080f…c226backed Over | 52c | 56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed Over | 55c | 51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Under | 45c | 46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed Over | 56c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5253…b898backed Over | 56c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Over | 51c | 43.09$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…d746backed Over | 54c | 43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Under | 45c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Over | 56c | 39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…390fbacked Over | 56c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd1…0100backed Over | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…dbd8backed Over | 56c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…6613backed Over | 55c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…e342backed Over | 57c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…d6cbbacked Over | 55c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60dc…9a3ebacked Over | 57c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed Over | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -54%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…ddaebacked Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c3…eb62backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…24adbacked Over | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce96…ff5cbacked Over | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29ab…b38dbacked Over | 54c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed Over | 56c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…92cbbacked Over | 54c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…d253backed Over | 56c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a4…581ebacked Over | 54c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0297backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b2…cec2backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07a4…be3abacked Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed Over | 57c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4390…e842backed Over | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…e482backed Over | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…4997backed Over | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…7384backed Over | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Florida International vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 60.5this page
- Florida International vs. UTSA RoadrunnersUTSA Roadrunners won
- Florida International vs. UTSA Roadrunners: 1H MoneylineUTSA Roadrunners won
- Florida International vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 61.5Over won
- Florida International vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 62.5Over won
- O/U 59.5Over won
- Spread: UTSA Roadrunners (-5.5)UTSA Roadrunners won
- Spread: UTSA Roadrunners (-5.5)UTSA Roadrunners won
- Spread: UTSA Roadrunners (-6.5)UTSA Roadrunners won
- Spread: UTSA Roadrunners (-7.5)UTSA Roadrunners won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.