College Football · resolved market
Spread: UTSA Roadrunners (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f6e36b5f4aed1d35c43fc055558337873fc9a64f2ba809dde926cf6d421a20a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UTSA Roadrunnersof UTSA Roadrunners, Florida International
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,228
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,555
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,228 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Florida International | 51c | 10,543$5,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,377.06 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed UTSA Roadrunners | 48c | 8,176$3,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,228.8 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed UTSA Roadrunners | 49c | 5,386$2,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,746.66 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…89b9backed UTSA Roadrunners | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Florida International | 50c | 4,269$2,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,119.33 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Florida International | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Florida International | 50c | 983.63$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.63 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea89…0b5fbacked Florida International | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Florida International | 45c | 328.93$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.02 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc034…3ff7backed UTSA Roadrunners | 55c | 328.93$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.02 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed UTSA Roadrunners | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c58…8c00backed Florida International | 53c | 81.2$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…2d96backed UTSA Roadrunners | 49c | 66.46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b8…799cbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c3…f427backed UTSA Roadrunners | 49c | 44.64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…4c2cbacked Florida International | 51c | 38.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bd…2bf8backed Florida International | 53c | 24.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: UTSA Roadrunners (-7.5)this page
- Florida International vs. UTSA RoadrunnersUTSA Roadrunners won
- Florida International vs. UTSA Roadrunners: 1H MoneylineUTSA Roadrunners won
- Florida International vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 60.5Over won
- Florida International vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 61.5Over won
- Florida International vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 62.5Over won
- O/U 59.5Over won
- Spread: UTSA Roadrunners (-5.5)UTSA Roadrunners won
- Spread: UTSA Roadrunners (-5.5)UTSA Roadrunners won
- Spread: UTSA Roadrunners (-6.5)UTSA Roadrunners won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.