Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 9?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc578e5b34391071e87058ffcdaa070a89d1b9c5f4997c20f54d036fe9031a805
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,009
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,844
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,009 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc9de…81d9backed Yes | 32c | 2,231$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.48 | 420 | 36.4%153 W · 267 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked No | 67c | 1,818$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.45 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 28c | 766$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.45 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 16c | 616.42$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.12 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 15c | 544.14$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.38 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…3ec7backed Yes | 24c | 485.52$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Yes | 22c | 429.46$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.12 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…7d9cbacked Yes | 16c | 399.92$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.83 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 68c | 374.92$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.65 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 73c | 368$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.48 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 13c | 336.69$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.19 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4b…0256backed Yes | 33c | 329.99$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.9 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 36c | 299.88$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.65 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…95f5backed No | 69c | 293.4$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.49 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed Yes | 12c | 264.12$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 966 | 20.7%200 W · 766 L | +59.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 30c | 259.96$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.5 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 14c | 234.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x579d…247cbacked Yes | 12c | 224.14$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 77 | 29.9%23 W · 54 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 70c | 205$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.24 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 17c | 200.17$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…9eedbacked Yes | 10c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 157 | 17.2%27 W · 130 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 18c | 199.93$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cae…559abacked No | 67c | 195.71$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.06 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…5585backed Yes | 18c | 195.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf216…4844backed No | 79c | 182.98$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.83 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 69c | 176.28$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.11 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 12c | 162.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 80c | 155.9$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 68c | 153.45$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.79 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 12c | 150.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 71c | 150.22$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.06 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 36c | 146.53$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.26 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…5296backed Yes | 35c | 143.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Yes | 37c | 142.46$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.39 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aca…6977backed Yes | 24c | 137.91$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 68c | 135$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710b…a42dbacked Yes | 15c | 132.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 203 | 27.1%55 W · 148 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 19c | 120.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445f…229fbacked Yes | 17c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…b5c9backed Yes | 18c | 113.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 23c | 111.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 13c | 110$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…c27cbacked Yes | 19c | 107.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 149 | 32.9%49 W · 100 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc64…2c70backed Yes | 16c | 107.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…7d4fbacked Yes | 23c | 105$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 485 | 23.7%115 W · 370 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 15c | 102.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 26c | 101.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 559 | 54.7%306 W · 253 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb80c…827bbacked No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c2…3c0abacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3271…cd33backed Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 135 | 31.1%42 W · 93 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 78c | 99.29$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 28c | 98.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…4c1ebacked No | 80c | 98.18$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 496 | 75.4%374 W · 122 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 24c | 97.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 15c | 95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed No | 78c | 93.47$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x457e…72ddbacked Yes | 36c | 92.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.13 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 68c | 91$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 27c | 85.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…6983backed Yes | 32c | 84.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 874 | 37.3%326 W · 548 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…4420backed No | 67c | 77$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 895 | 57.2%512 W · 383 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 16c | 76.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 73c | 73.27$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24ef…cc87backed Yes | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445f…cc13backed Yes | 35c | 63.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ee…0662backed Yes | 34c | 63.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda24…7e54backed Yes | 25c | 54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 26c | 50.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 421 | 48%202 W · 219 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 701 | 48.4%339 W · 362 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 70c | 48.43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…62b9backed No | 74c | 44.52$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 605 | 50.7%307 W · 298 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…6a89backed No | 74c | 44.31$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 384 | 54.9%211 W · 173 L | +26.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7082backed Yes | 34c | 43.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 74c | 42.85$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 28c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 2,823 | 11.2%316 W · 2,507 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e1…1b3dbacked No | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd90…4bfcbacked No | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 577 | 47%271 W · 306 L | +40.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x813f…26ecbacked No | 69c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 809 | 62.1%502 W · 307 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…88a2backed No | 75c | 39.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 58 | 84.5%49 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 76cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…11afbacked Yes | 29c | 38.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a5…9156backed Yes | 32c | 37.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0428…7d12backed Yes | 32c | 35.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 301 | 36.9%111 W · 190 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 31c | 35.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…791abacked No | 65c | 35.02$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 542 | 53%287 W · 255 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…a5fbbacked Yes | 34c | 32.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -7.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 70c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf673…1c49backed Yes | 36c | 30.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 69c | 29.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced2…0d6bbacked No | 69c | 29.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 156 | 69.2%108 W · 48 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fa…9611backed No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 155 | 55.5%86 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 75c | 28.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377d…ddddbacked No | 70c | 28.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 72c | 25.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0803backed No | 67c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 260 | 67.3%175 W · 85 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 9?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C or below on July 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 9?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on July 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on July 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C on July 9?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.