Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on July 9?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59d648eacb4cd8d986d0bbd42658d4bcf46e2c3342554ee540bfd01ed06e2661
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,216
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,367
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,216 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7137…0c12backed Yes | 11c | 1,382$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.46 | 74 | 17.6%13 W · 61 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 79c | 1,005$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.08 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73b2…615dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,004$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 11c | 781.27$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.63 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…fe5bbacked Yes | 33c | 635.95$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.96 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 21c | 599.05$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.51 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…3e99backed Yes | 2c | 560$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 25c | 558.69$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.34 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 24c | 557.31$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.64 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 73c | 557.2$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.81 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…f2febacked Yes | 32c | 443.22$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.69 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 73c | 398.95$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.13 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 7c | 389.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…932abacked Yes | 22c | 299.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 8c | 290$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 78c | 271$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.28 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 70c | 263.65$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.18 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c56…6e66backed Yes | 26c | 258.4$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.48 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 78c | 253.93$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.59 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 18c | 226.68$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…1ea9backed No | 76c | 224.62$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 155 | 70.3%109 W · 46 L | +23.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x567a…b24cbacked Yes | 10c | 208.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 129 | 27.1%35 W · 94 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…8511backed Yes | 28c | 203.65$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.58 | 251 | 35.1%88 W · 163 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 26c | 201.58$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.16 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…e1efbacked Yes | 28c | 199.91$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.18 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07ac…ab30backed Yes | 8c | 199.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 67 | 19.4%13 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…2aa5backed No | 77c | 194.08$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 161 | 57.1%92 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc5…d6b7backed No | 57c | 175.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.08 | 274 | 61.7%169 W · 105 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 27c | 174.27$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.21 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 33c | 171.57$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 24c | 170.09$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…3fb7backed Yes | 8c | 157.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 76c | 155.9$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.18 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed Yes | 11c | 151.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked No | 77c | 149.82$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x5221…bd4dbacked Yes | 14c | 146.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 71c | 146.23$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.2 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 66c | 136.99$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.37 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 18c | 135.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1d41…24d7backed Yes | 38c | 130.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cb…6882backed No | 76c | 123.86$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 22c | 121.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2868…9b6bbacked Yes | 32c | 121.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 73c | 120.16$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 75c | 116$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 559 | 54.7%306 W · 253 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef1…b97dbacked Yes | 18c | 115$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…8e3cbacked No | 68c | 111.1$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.91 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed Yes | 9c | 110.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 70c | 109.08$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.16 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf216…4844backed Yes | 22c | 107.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…cc81backed Yes | 47c | 104.3$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 234 | 29.1%68 W · 166 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb97…603bbacked Yes | 22c | 103.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed Yes | 35c | 102.7$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 31c | 102.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35cc…58b7backed Yes | 26c | 102.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…ea62backed No | 73c | 102$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…d77cbacked No | 73c | 101.34$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 495 | 51.9%257 W · 238 L | -25.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbce…507dbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed No | 72c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5af3…1534backed Yes | 31c | 95.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed No | 67c | 91$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.39 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00eb…313cbacked Yes | 33c | 90.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 11cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…1d91backed Yes | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x361c…99d4backed No | 74c | 88.37$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 119 | 65.5%78 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2f…e889backed Yes | 32c | 87.95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5484…84e8backed No | 78c | 86.77$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 22c | 83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbd…65a3backed Yes | 17c | 80.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f21…c693backed Yes | 28c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | +15.5wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcd90…4bfcbacked Yes | 30c | 77.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 577 | 47%271 W · 306 L | +40.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 34c | 72.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6296…981cbacked Yes | 22c | 70.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed Yes | 22c | 68.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 25c | 68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffc…c66fbacked Yes | 26c | 66.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f9…9ab0backed Yes | 33c | 64.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 138 | 38.4%53 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefc6…dde3backed No | 72c | 64$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f0…dc7abacked Yes | 21c | 63.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1f…4877backed Yes | 19c | 60.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 801 | 30.8%247 W · 554 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…a936backed Yes | 22c | 58.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 667 | 58%387 W · 280 L | +48.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 73c | 57.45$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb67…0a5abacked Yes | 18c | 55.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 66c | 55.43$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…62b9backed No | 70c | 54.19$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 605 | 50.7%307 W · 298 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c1…5b62backed Yes | 19c | 52.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 158 | 29.7%47 W · 111 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2d…0ef3backed Yes | 23c | 52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc6…22a6backed Yes | 26c | 50.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 775 | 55.2%428 W · 347 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…791abacked No | 68c | 46.84$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 542 | 53%287 W · 255 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 23c | 45.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 71c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 66c | 42.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d5…1b8abacked Yes | 55c | 42.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 74c | 41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecc8…9335backed No | 70c | 40.76$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 192 | 60.9%117 W · 75 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab7…0bd3backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 445 | 36.6%163 W · 282 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9973…6e40backed Yes | 30c | 35.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Yes | 35c | 35.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on July 9?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C or below on July 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 9?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on July 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C on July 9?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.