Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd56d98f7ec419ad3033193b3a3387f6ef06417d14f54269a9554373d7358523
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,247
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,488
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,247 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 2c | 1,998$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.23 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7137…0c12backed Yes | 5c | 1,238$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.22 | 74 | 17.6%13 W · 61 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…19d9backed Yes | 16c | 927.39$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 79c | 833.71$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.08 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2868…9b6bbacked Yes | 3c | 811.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 6c | 642.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 78c | 553.97$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.41 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 5c | 528.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed Yes | 7c | 343.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 11c | 338.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x063e…3ac1backed Yes | 3c | 332.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f88…cdcbbacked Yes | 44c | 293.7$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 62c | 264.6$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.66 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 79c | 264.25$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.38 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f2…9bf5backed Yes | 39c | 260$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.61 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 38c | 231.17$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.53 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 39c | 199.32$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e5…e283backed No | 75c | 180.04$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 1,282 | 56.7%727 W · 555 L | -28.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 9c | 173$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 60c | 165.42$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.08 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 38c | 156.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 18c | 154.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x6c56…6e66backed Yes | 40c | 152.15$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.86 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccc…61dfbacked Yes | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 21c | 137.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8c…23c8backed No | 63c | 135.08$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.53 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…000bbacked Yes | 38c | 131.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed Yes | 36c | 130.02$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.61 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 28c | 125.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 31c | 122$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.66 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d9…ec8abacked Yes | 13c | 120.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 156 | 30.8%48 W · 108 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed Yes | 42c | 118.86$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.36 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…78d8backed Yes | 45c | 112.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 249 | 42.6%106 W · 143 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7956…eba5backed Yes | 37c | 108.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 1,048 | 38.1%399 W · 649 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe43f…a889backed No | 63c | 108.43$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.57 | 174 | 57.5%100 W · 74 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 75c | 106$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…e1efbacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffa…d06bbacked No | 72c | 99.37$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc64…2c70backed Yes | 20c | 96.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…63e1backed Yes | 41c | 93.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6a…3c24backed Yes | 36c | 93.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +129%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked No | 63c | 93$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.73 | 631 | 43.1%272 W · 359 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 59c | 92.13$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.54 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 77c | 87$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6296…981cbacked Yes | 33c | 85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 63c | 84.75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.73 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 40c | 82.37$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,102 | 40.7%448 W · 654 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…c820backed Yes | 38c | 77.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 635 | 38.1%242 W · 393 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…d572backed No | 65c | 77.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 374 | 65.2%244 W · 130 L | +23.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 57c | 76$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 36c | 73.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 63c | 72.71$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 60c | 69.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…b752backed Yes | 37c | 68.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 20c | 66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab7…0bd3backed Yes | 41c | 62.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 445 | 36.6%163 W · 282 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec3a…a709backed No | 65c | 60.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 43c | 59.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ea…08e0backed Yes | 36c | 59.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65c7…e100backed Yes | 43c | 56.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 227 | 44.1%100 W · 127 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd009…91afbacked No | 71c | 54.21$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5af3…1534backed Yes | 37c | 54.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 67c | 52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5221…bd4dbacked Yes | 38c | 51.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 169 | 36.1%61 W · 108 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53c0…33a5backed Yes | 33c | 49.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 226 | 45.1%102 W · 124 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 38c | 49.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…3fb7backed Yes | 35c | 46.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 34c | 46.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 36c | 46.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 60c | 46.48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.51 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed Yes | 43c | 46.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f24…64b5backed No | 62c | 45.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 33c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 65c | 43.34$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…ddeabacked Yes | 42c | 42.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa99…29afbacked No | 59c | 40.66$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa687…53a5backed Yes | 42c | 37.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76b…ad7fbacked No | 59c | 35.66$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed No | 59c | 35.45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 352 | 64.8%228 W · 124 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 62c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 62c | 34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…4e62backed No | 62c | 31.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x276a…d445backed Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c33…f910backed Yes | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 54c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x804b…b090backed No | 67c | 29.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 183 | 65.6%120 W · 63 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 37c | 29.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…d070backed Yes | 42c | 29.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0d2fbacked Yes | 37c | 27.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 528 | 28%148 W · 380 L | -57.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde37…877fbacked Yes | 40c | 26.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 61c | 25.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19af…6e63backed No | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83aa…35bbbacked No | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…acb7backed No | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 68 | 69.1%47 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1d…3fa1backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 42c | 24.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 67c | 20.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4075…cd19backed No | 61c | 20.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…0b91backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 464 | 57.5%267 W · 197 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 11?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 11?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.