Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Aberdeen FC win on 2026-01-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a73abc65c20f7ff9850bbe1a6508e22fda44f496e471e07be606e4856a1129d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,096
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,636
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,096 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 55c | 16,000$8,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,199.98 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 44c | 7,265$3,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,196.44 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 46c | 7,204$3,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,313.84 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 78c | 6,858$5,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.38 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 53c | 830.34$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.48 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 48c | 822.84$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.35 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49b…2943backed Yes | 55c | 700.01$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.24 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 53c | 515.75$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.84 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 56c | 489.41$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.84 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 45c | 398.72$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.43 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 65c | 245.76$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.61 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed No | 48c | 209.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 54c | 203.7$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.7 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Yes | 71c | 160$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +4.2wins | +0.25per pick | 64cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd7de…4d6dbacked No | 29c | 160$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.8wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed No | 44c | 139.5$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.38 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 72c | 139.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 41c | 131.78$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.03 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Yes | 54c | 120.37$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.37 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 45c | 119.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 46c | 106.36$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.67 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | -15.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…8052backed Yes | 54c | 76.81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee35…11ecbacked Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…710fbacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 216 | 44.4%96 W · 120 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed No | 46c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 61c | 38.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…4cc0backed Yes | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 39c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed No | 48c | 24.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Yes | 53c | 21.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 53c | 20.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Yes | 79c | 17.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aberdeen FC win on 2026-01-24?this page
- Will Aberdeen FC vs. Livingston FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Livingston FC win on 2026-01-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.