World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bd1429aecf36c9c8b41bd4bfda7ff193fbfb11df08d97135a3002897a39a329
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,927
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,910
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,927 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 30c | 1,727$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.68 | 237 | 23.2%55 W · 182 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc944…1686backed Yes | 21c | 764.42$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.73 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 63c | 550.86$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.81 | 327 | 48.6%159 W · 168 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec1…e2e3backed Yes | 25c | 522.24$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.5 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd5…c897backed Yes | 27c | 348.56$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 73c | 288.61$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.79 | 323 | 54.2%175 W · 148 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 75c | 286.59$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.39 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 65c | 285.78$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.69 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 75c | 262.25$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.28 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 28c | 261.76$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.18 | 181 | 58%105 W · 76 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 19c | 238.02$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.75 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 66c | 223.77$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.08 | 145 | 21.4%31 W · 114 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 5c | 218.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 104 | 14.4%15 W · 89 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…e1efbacked Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…d803backed Yes | 12c | 199.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 9c | 193.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 68c | 184.25$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.11 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f7…dae0backed No | 71c | 175.73$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.2 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed Yes | 12c | 171.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 75 | 17.3%13 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d70…cc5ebacked No | 76c | 170.99$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.24 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 19c | 165.54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 66c | 160$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 132 | 68.9%91 W · 41 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 30c | 152.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6548…9108backed No | 74c | 149.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…89d9backed Yes | 23c | 149$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 24c | 141.28$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 20c | 141$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…efcebacked Yes | 8c | 138.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 63c | 138.22$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.89 | 441 | 38.1%168 W · 273 L | +27.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…9d29backed Yes | 16c | 121.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b32…9f3cbacked Yes | 28c | 120$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f9…1cfabacked Yes | 34c | 118.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 15c | 113.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84b9…7f7fbacked Yes | 24c | 110$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…bbe3backed Yes | 23c | 104.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7956…eba5backed Yes | 33c | 102.05$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa760…2c51backed No | 76c | 101.88$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…ea62backed No | 75c | 100.32$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eee…74e8backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…0195backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…62b9backed No | 70c | 96.77$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbd…5a6cbacked Yes | 13c | 90.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 30c | 87.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe44…5d00backed Yes | 16c | 83.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 68c | 83.48$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 77c | 81.26$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 144 | 67.4%97 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x286d…825abacked Yes | 28c | 80.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 22c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked Yes | 18c | 79.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe229…ea0fbacked Yes | 26c | 78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 27c | 77.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 72c | 75.89$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30d…fe15backed No | 68c | 73.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 79c | 72.11$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…39d5backed Yes | 27c | 71.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x361c…99d4backed No | 70c | 71.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc6…22a6backed Yes | 33c | 69.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 35c | 69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 103 | 20.4%21 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 15c | 68.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 221 | 11.3%25 W · 196 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed29…3848backed Yes | 29c | 65.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 70c | 63.08$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 28c | 59.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…4c65backed No | 78c | 58.96$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 17c | 58.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 444 | 28.8%128 W · 316 L | -67.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…95f5backed No | 66c | 57.96$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.66 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 33c | 53.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 122 | 38.5%47 W · 75 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0308…55c6backed Yes | 23c | 52.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859c…6eafbacked Yes | 22c | 51.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ac…4127backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 65c | 49.27$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed No | 66c | 49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fc…7a72backed Yes | 28c | 45.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 77c | 45.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 263 | 55.9%147 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 33c | 41.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 67c | 41.46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…36dcbacked Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e6…66b7backed No | 69c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked No | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 75c | 38.31$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5589…a3fabacked No | 71c | 36.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6793…1869backed No | 66c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 34c | 35.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3114…eaaabacked Yes | 37c | 34.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked Yes | 30c | 34.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x914e…8355backed No | 67c | 34.18$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…24e3backed Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +44%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf3…782cbacked No | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84e3…3dfdbacked No | 80c | 29.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 77cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…0b91backed No | 67c | 25.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked No | 66c | 24.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…4dedbacked No | 76c | 23.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 65c | 23.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d3…5b5ebacked No | 66c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 67c | 21.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 67c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…3c50backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 87 | 75.9%66 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 10?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 10?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on July 10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.