Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4015f7fe0bd425e747d0b1f7ec79e2fe09435095797cba29d85ffd1a8627afa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,413
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,616
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,413 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 32c | 1,603$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.13 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 56c | 956.08$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.82 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 18c | 895.22$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.51 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 49c | 746.72$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.93 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 30c | 664.49$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.45 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x302c…abcebacked Yes | 38c | 545.94$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.32 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 27c | 542.49$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.92 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 61c | 534.86$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.37 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 61c | 521.47$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.07 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 56c | 514.91$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.92 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 68c | 497$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.96 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 39c | 496$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.14 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…1ea9backed Yes | 70c | 455.52$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.23 | 155 | 70.3%109 W · 46 L | +23.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 41c | 411.35$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.4 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 67c | 394.99$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.05 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 42c | 385.55$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.03 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 38c | 370.02$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.6 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf23…3f54backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.04 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 71c | 352.56$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.52 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 34c | 340.4$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.31 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed No | 3c | 332.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f88…cdcbbacked Yes | 41c | 319.87$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.87 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Yes | 63c | 307$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.6 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…e1efbacked Yes | 61c | 300.03$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.33 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 60c | 279.77$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.69 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c56…6e66backed Yes | 35c | 275.81$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.46 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 23c | 274.89$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.38 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1e…862ebacked No | 27c | 258.75$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.89 | 87 | 27.6%24 W · 63 L | -10.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2797…9bc0backed No | 47c | 254.9$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.69 | 181 | 42.5%77 W · 104 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc8…7b89backed Yes | 44c | 228.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.99 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 63c | 226.64$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.14 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eee…74e8backed Yes | 76c | 212$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.73 | 400 | 25.5%102 W · 298 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 48c | 210$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 59c | 209.77$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.23 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 63c | 203$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.59 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.36 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 36c | 190.98$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.56 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked Yes | 75c | 184.85$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 31c | 180.14$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.58 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…8b5ebacked No | 79c | 174.04$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.37 | 926 | 78.2%724 W · 202 L | +51.2wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…4501backed Yes | 45c | 165.52$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.77 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 78c | 160$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf216…4844backed Yes | 62c | 157.14$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.04 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed Yes | 33c | 152.04$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 60c | 151.43$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.3 | 481 | 49.5%238 W · 243 L | -26.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 70c | 150.59$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.24 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 59c | 149.51$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.74 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6424…2718backed No | 61c | 148.42$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.04 | 427 | 54.6%233 W · 194 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 67c | 146$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.48 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567a…b24cbacked Yes | 22c | 145$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.1 | 129 | 27.1%35 W · 94 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5af3…1534backed Yes | 56c | 143.97$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.97 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 69c | 140.24$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.19 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 74c | 134.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.93 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed Yes | 65c | 127.12$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.54 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 19c | 125$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.82 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…a713backed Yes | 24c | 120.05$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.23 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc944…1686backed Yes | 37c | 119.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.59 | 345 | 33%114 W · 231 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 44c | 113.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.06 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed Yes | 42c | 111.13$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.9 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2868…9b6bbacked Yes | 71c | 110.9$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.87 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed No | 57c | 108.97$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.11 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…95f5backed No | 65c | 102.74$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.89 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…62b9backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 605 | 50.7%307 W · 298 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 35c | 93.2$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 1,102 | 40.7%448 W · 654 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…19d9backed Yes | 56c | 88.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.61 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…0e74backed No | 41c | 86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 198 | 61.1%121 W · 77 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 34c | 85.84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.59 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked Yes | 15c | 85.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.56 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x579d…247cbacked Yes | 39c | 83.85$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.79 | 77 | 29.9%23 W · 54 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 44c | 82.85$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.07 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5b32…9f3cbacked Yes | 39c | 79.28$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 39cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 60c | 78.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 43c | 77.63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.31 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a5…9156backed Yes | 51c | 73.38$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…d572backed No | 23c | 72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 374 | 65.2%244 W · 130 L | +23.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 46c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…36dcbacked No | 22c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 402 | 37.1%149 W · 253 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 60c | 69.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed No | 59c | 69.94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.46 | 352 | 64.8%228 W · 124 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…f053backed No | 46c | 69.85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 180 | 46.1%83 W · 97 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 29c | 68.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.86 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…ddeabacked Yes | 43c | 64.46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.46 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 27c | 64.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.97 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 44c | 64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…187dbacked Yes | 79c | 63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 613 | 65.3%400 W · 213 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe43f…a889backed No | 30c | 60.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 174 | 57.5%100 W · 74 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Yes | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65c7…e100backed Yes | 39c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 227 | 44.1%100 W · 127 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfddf…1686backed No | 66c | 59$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.93 | 641 | 67.6%433 W · 208 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 78c | 57.7$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 29c | 57.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbe…ddf5backed Yes | 78c | 56.3$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca9…fe9cbacked Yes | 78c | 55.08$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…e06fbacked No | 73c | 52.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 78c | 52.93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.29 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f24…64b5backed No | 31c | 52.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2f…e889backed Yes | 27c | 52.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.26 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked Yes | 63c | 50.45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 786 | 63.6%500 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 23c | 50.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.58 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53c0…33a5backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 226 | 45.1%102 W · 124 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 10?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.