World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f82bc25909888a66a2a0d836a54192b4d08d8a95461d0a49bbc9fd4416fe6e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,118
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,278
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,118 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 19c | 961.19$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.17 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 7c | 635.12$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 221 | 11.3%25 W · 196 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…cd1dbacked Yes | 18c | 626.23$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.83 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 8c | 383$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 230 | 44.8%103 W · 127 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…ac6ebacked No | 52c | 336.14$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.62 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…03fbbacked Yes | 48c | 327.34$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb84c…f36fbacked Yes | 6c | 315.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa200…27b0backed Yes | 9c | 302.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 8c | 249.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 104 | 14.4%15 W · 89 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 14c | 247.57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41fa…7cc4backed Yes | 6c | 235.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 40c | 225.6$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.61 | 392 | 31.9%125 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 5c | 214.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 34c | 205.66$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.33 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 30c | 205.41$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.42 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 67c | 200.39$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.14 | 441 | 38.1%168 W · 273 L | +27.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 40c | 189.24$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.61 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 72c | 171.79$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.65 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbea5…2cf0backed No | 59c | 169.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.85 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 54c | 167.89$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.07 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked No | 57c | 158.98$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.36 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes | 34c | 157.49$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.68 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 52c | 148.83$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.06 | 168 | 34.5%58 W · 110 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 14c | 139.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…9d29backed Yes | 16c | 138.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 43c | 136.54$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.79 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed No | 60c | 129.36$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.36 | 237 | 23.2%55 W · 182 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 9c | 128.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed No | 42c | 128.66$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.21 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 35c | 126.93$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 186 | 38.2%71 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 59c | 124$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.14 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 15c | 121.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 327 | 48.6%159 W · 168 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 48c | 115.72$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.73 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 53c | 114.8$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.8 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 45c | 112.34$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.26 | 131 | 55.7%73 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 15c | 105.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 444 | 28.8%128 W · 316 L | -67.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0eee…74e8backed Yes | 37c | 104.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked No | 49c | 104.96$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.53 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 66c | 103.98$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.35 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…000bbacked No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a1…1d37backed Yes | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 45c | 88.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.65 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x515c…7587backed No | 58c | 88.12$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.85 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca1…17e5backed Yes | 51c | 82.31$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb278…0f72backed Yes | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…5d76backed Yes | 65c | 77.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 52c | 76.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 29c | 75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2429…02d9backed No | 48c | 71.45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.17 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2797…9bc0backed No | 46c | 68.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 55c | 67.63$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.51 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3c65backed Yes | 33c | 65.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 62c | 65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 64c | 62.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.51 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe445…8750backed No | 39c | 60.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked No | 69c | 57.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 69c | 53.47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x353f…1623backed Yes | 39c | 51.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…3ff9backed Yes | 39c | 51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…5808backed Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6b…96c9backed No | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf3…ca4abacked No | 55c | 49.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 44c | 49.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.85 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed No | 54c | 49.19$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87d8…ccf3backed Yes | 49c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 69c | 46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x188a…9fafbacked No | 50c | 45.62$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…4308backed No | 76c | 44.88$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…3afcbacked Yes | 40c | 44.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad7…347abacked No | 77c | 43.65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51f0…186cbacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 45c | 40.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 181 | 58%105 W · 76 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 59c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 167 | 38.3%64 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 36c | 38.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 58c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 187 | 62.6%117 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…fe00backed Yes | 54c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f43…a1dfbacked Yes | 64c | 37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…0caebacked Yes | 38c | 36.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 51c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…eb02backed Yes | 38c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…0988backed No | 58c | 32.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 66c | 31.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 66c | 31.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96b1…8136backed Yes | 43c | 30.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ad…8d47backed Yes | 50c | 30.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 65c | 29.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65f7…ff15backed No | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6548…9108backed Yes | 47c | 29.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 68c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed No | 69c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 73c | 27.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 86 | 72.1%62 W · 24 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed Yes | 49c | 25.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 58 | 75.9%44 W · 14 L | +7.8wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d3…118ebacked Yes | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed Yes | 59c | 23.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 15?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 15?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.