Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 25?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1baea213fafb8a9ea26926cc63fa78f5cfc37bb36511b111577ceff5911852f

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $24,062
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $25,789

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,062 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3290…53cbbacked Yes	47c	2,016$953 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$952.9	90	20%18 W · 72 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf421…efcebacked Yes	1c	1,346$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.48	23	4.3%1 W · 22 L	-1.8wins	-0.08per pick	12cpaid	-82.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ff2…f140backed Yes	19c	1,190$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.96	237	23.2%55 W · 182 L	+6.9wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+42.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	78c	840.64$655 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.3	884	48.5%429 W · 455 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6bee…7e78backed Yes	20c	668.35$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.01	128	16.4%21 W · 107 L	+6.3wins	+0.05per pick	11cpaid	+67.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes	2c	658.12$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.16	266	32.7%87 W · 179 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c63…93d4backed Yes	20c	647.12$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.25	441	38.1%168 W · 273 L	+27.8wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No	74c	617.1$456 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.93	352	58%204 W · 148 L	-4.6wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f1…701fbacked No	80c	553.87$440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.54	120	55.8%67 W · 53 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes	23c	499.99$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.35	59	16.9%10 W · 49 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes	17c	399.02$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.52	326	39.3%128 W · 198 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked No	76c	325.37$246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.48	323	54.2%175 W · 148 L	+6.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7df0…0dfebacked No	75c	318.98$241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.34	234	59.8%140 W · 94 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a5b…7676backed Yes	27c	302.73$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.07	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.9wins	+0.09per pick	21cpaid	+296.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc34f…7d2ebacked No	75c	292.64$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.96	406	48.8%198 W · 208 L	+11.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dc3…3472backed No	65c	273.08$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.49	120	55%66 W · 54 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4a0…9d29backed Yes	22c	272.91$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.19	169	34.9%59 W · 110 L	+11.4wins	+0.07per pick	28cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x77f0…2b1fbacked No	80c	264.18$211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.95	150	36.7%55 W · 95 L	-5.6wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x858b…a2cebacked Yes	29c	260$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.94	55	36.4%20 W · 35 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No	76c	253.63$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.07	235	51.9%122 W · 113 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No	66c	223.71$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.85	160	51.9%83 W · 77 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	29c	222.95$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.31	230	44.8%103 W · 127 L	+11.8wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa8c…9169backed No	57c	219.09$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.16	133	57.1%76 W · 57 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2612…5289backed No	59c	211.43$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.54	218	44%96 W · 122 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x567f…94b9backed Yes	21c	210.9$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.03	80	38.8%31 W · 49 L	+4.2wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bdd…0872backed Yes	30c	204.92$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	30	26.7%8 W · 22 L	-3.4wins	-0.11per pick	38cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c9a…587ebacked No	51c	193.91$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.97	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.25per pick	35cpaid	+13%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9eda…6e19backed No	76c	193.55$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.45	58	55.2%32 W · 26 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78ed…ab3abacked Yes	26c	191.45$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-66.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	79c	190.85$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.42	528	50.8%268 W · 260 L	+20.9wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d70…cc5ebacked No	76c	187.11$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.11	25	72%18 W · 7 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	69cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x41f6…828ebacked Yes	34c	178.81$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	67	31.3%21 W · 46 L	+7.3wins	+0.11per pick	20cpaid	+66.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe040…824fbacked No	66c	171.97$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.35	218	54.6%119 W · 99 L	+6.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ec1…e2e3backed No	67c	171.36$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.79	87	36.8%32 W · 55 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7529…9d10backed No	59c	165.85$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.38	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.22per pick	53cpaid	+42%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fc1…647abacked No	74c	160$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.29	64	48.4%31 W · 33 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fcd…82e4backed Yes	23c	152.92$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.66	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	12cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27ab…e521backed No	76c	147.6$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.14	70	58.6%41 W · 29 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x947c…9a5cbacked Yes	25c	145.84$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.46	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+1.6wins	+0.13per pick	29cpaid	+25.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No	78c	143.97$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.03	343	54.8%188 W · 155 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-12%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Yes	26c	142.48$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.05	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Yes	26c	142.47$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.04	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No	70c	136.25$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.94	274	38.3%105 W · 169 L	-32.3wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes	34c	134.02$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.17	444	28.8%128 W · 316 L	-67.6wins	-0.15per pick	44cpaid	-51.6%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick
0xaac4…efa0backed No	56c	133.34$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.23	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes	19c	125$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.33	103	20.4%21 W · 82 L	-6.7wins	-0.06per pick	27cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x044f…d1f1backed No	76c	124.95$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.47	327	48.6%159 W · 168 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0a5…0a36backed No	52c	107.99$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.36	88	56.8%50 W · 38 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59d7…94b2backed Yes	14c	107.14$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13de…fd91backed No	72c	103.65$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.06	47	53.2%25 W · 22 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x859c…6eafbacked Yes	23c	101$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.23	62	24.2%15 W · 47 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	148	42.6%63 W · 85 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x379f…7d70backed No	74c	100$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+37%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddc3…000bbacked No	73c	99.99$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27	52	34.6%18 W · 34 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e5c…d892backed No	52c	99.99$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.99	73	53.4%39 W · 34 L	+10.5wins	+0.14per pick	39cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No	74c	98$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.89	360	55.3%199 W · 161 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc41d…c51dbacked Yes	26c	95$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.7	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfbd…5a6cbacked No	57c	94.76$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.76	77	41.6%32 W · 45 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x25b2…4edbbacked Yes	28c	90.24$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes	34c	89.07$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.94	63	30.2%19 W · 44 L	-3.3wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-16%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x49c4…db5bbacked No	57c	81.17$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.93	45	51.1%23 W · 22 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf10e…4308backed Yes	25c	80$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe2be…ff33backed Yes	25c	79.81$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.95	59	45.8%27 W · 32 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a86…84ecbacked Yes	17c	78.13$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.31	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+2.7wins	+0.30per pick	48cpaid	+75.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x70c4…1008backed Yes	46c	75$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.5	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-26%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca4c…3d58backed Yes	28c	73$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.44	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b8b…2512backed No	58c	72.74$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.55	167	55.1%92 W · 75 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x35fb…8511backed Yes	21c	72$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.18	56	44.6%25 W · 31 L	+4.5wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes	52c	71.5$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.54	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+1.0wins	+0.08per pick	30cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6753…b37dbacked Yes	27c	71.15$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.21	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50c8…f649backed Yes	27c	70.07$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.96	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1abc…45e7backed No	53c	68.33$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.37	149	54.4%81 W · 68 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e72…ffb9backed No	58c	67.61$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.6	168	50.6%85 W · 83 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0eee…74e8backed Yes	26c	64.99$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.05	70	20%14 W · 56 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d1d…9e61backed No	79c	61.4$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.03	144	67.4%97 W · 47 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	66cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x94b1…27cbbacked No	74c	60.82$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.83	32	62.5%20 W · 12 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	68cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8a1…1d37backed No	62c	60.25$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.1	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe5ad…39c6backed Yes	28c	60$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.8	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+48.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb07c…6c36backed Yes	45c	60$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.9	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd514…bbdfbacked Yes	27c	59.99$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.1	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+3.4wins	+0.20per pick	44cpaid	+44.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No	67c	59.69$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.7	82	36.6%30 W · 52 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc662…0927backed No	76c	56.31$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.51	89	59.6%53 W · 36 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3653…ef74backed No	66c	55.36$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.77	147	53.7%79 W · 68 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc51…b9e8backed Yes	25c	55$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.75	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.26per pick	43cpaid	-75.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	23c	54$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.51	1,318	43.9%579 W · 739 L	-26.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-13%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes	46c	53.2$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.7	186	38.2%71 W · 115 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0947…9e92backed Yes	27c	52.94$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.37	31	74.2%23 W · 8 L	+6.1wins	+0.20per pick	55cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd34c…f04cbacked Yes	19c	52.78$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.02	87	39.1%34 W · 53 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa328…4977backed No	74c	52.67$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.59	132	43.9%58 W · 74 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04b3…1b7ebacked Yes	25c	51.9$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.09	99	59.6%59 W · 40 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f99…6734backed No	79c	51.78$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.87	69	44.9%31 W · 38 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b12…c2d5backed No	52c	50.86$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.36	160	51.9%83 W · 77 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0996…598dbacked Yes	46c	50$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a88…f471backed Yes	26c	50$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-21%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a29…3cc9backed No	77c	50$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.5	43	44.2%19 W · 24 L	-3.1wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x63a1…0212backed No	56c	49.04$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.36	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+1.7wins	+0.15per pick	58cpaid	+109.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b65…e6bfbacked Yes	21c	47.62$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc950…9420backed Yes	36c	46.48$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.52	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb286…aac7backed Yes	25c	46.26$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.57	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdcdf…8116backed Yes	28c	45$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 25?this page
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C or below on June 25?No won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 25?No won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 25?No won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 25?No won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 25?Yes won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 42°C on June 25?No won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 43°C on June 25?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 25?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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