World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0b1ab132aa368548dbcb109bdd4fa740ffeaca359d7a277feeef34232916d41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,398
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,765
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,398 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 25c | 1,768$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.26 | 392 | 31.9%125 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x947c…9a5cbacked Yes | 2c | 763.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed No | 74c | 677.02$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.02 | 237 | 23.2%55 W · 182 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 74c | 548$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.25 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 4c | 504.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…9d29backed Yes | 6c | 445.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdd…0872backed Yes | 8c | 374.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 78c | 326.29$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.24 | 179 | 52.5%94 W · 85 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…000bbacked Yes | 25c | 299.67$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.59 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 18c | 288.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.89 | 406 | 48.8%198 W · 208 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 20c | 277.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 27c | 241.84$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.35 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec1…e2e3backed Yes | 26c | 216.03$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.47 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.84 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3a…00b2backed Yes | 26c | 186$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.48 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed No | 68c | 172.72$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.27 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +6.1wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 24c | 163.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 186 | 38.2%71 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed Yes | 25c | 162.2$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.55 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 75c | 160$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 132 | 68.9%91 W · 41 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 74c | 152.11$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.98 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37df…f8b9backed No | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 70c | 142.41$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 441 | 38.1%168 W · 273 L | +27.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 73c | 139.79$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x858b…a2cebacked Yes | 25c | 135.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.28 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 71c | 131.43$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.67 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…8b5ebacked No | 73c | 111.81$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.79 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda58…6009backed No | 80c | 110$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 66cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…d803backed Yes | 12c | 109.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1f…4877backed Yes | 29c | 108.72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 10c | 108.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2837…fd84backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6423…9a53backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a1…1d37backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 79c | 99.79$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 323 | 54.2%175 W · 148 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked Yes | 27c | 88.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 66c | 79.96$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 234 | 59.8%140 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 76c | 79.61$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 86 | 72.1%62 W · 24 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 24c | 73.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…e7edbacked Yes | 18c | 71.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25b2…4edbbacked Yes | 28c | 71.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 16c | 70.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd102…42c8backed Yes | 27c | 69.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 78c | 69.72$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -32.3wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 66c | 68.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 71c | 67.61$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 146 | 56.2%82 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3c65backed No | 74c | 66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc8…7b89backed No | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 72c | 62.06$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 73c | 61.4$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 144 | 67.4%97 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 67c | 60.76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 75 | 82.7%62 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 76cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbc…4764backed Yes | 25c | 60.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7419…594abacked Yes | 29c | 60.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6548…9108backed No | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 28c | 58.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 122 | 38.5%47 W · 75 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 20c | 58.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 444 | 28.8%128 W · 316 L | -67.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 28c | 57.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 73c | 53.65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 157 | 66.2%104 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 80c | 52.67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…4dedbacked Yes | 34c | 50.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf58a…2a4fbacked Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…e47abacked Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 42cpaid | -63%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…4af6backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fa…4531backed Yes | 30c | 49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 79c | 46.69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1283…b348backed Yes | 27c | 44.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…3667backed Yes | 35c | 43.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 26c | 42.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddcc…d167backed Yes | 26c | 42.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 75c | 38.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa9…6663backed No | 74c | 37.34$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5579…2db1backed No | 66c | 35.56$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 79c | 34.01$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8579…ed5dbacked No | 75c | 33.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 78c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 186 | 69.4%129 W · 57 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 187 | 62.6%117 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec42…5ffbbacked No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 78cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…8010backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f2…ef25backed No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fad…9542backed No | 74c | 28.95$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb1…79f7backed No | 68c | 28.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed No | 73c | 27.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6e…b651backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c8…f649backed No | 74c | 26.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb674…e97abacked No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 73c | 24.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -6.1wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe957…0988backed No | 75c | 23.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 73c | 21.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed No | 72c | 20.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +5.7wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb25…68cbbacked No | 74c | 19.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f3…52d8backed No | 76c | 18.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a86…84ecbacked No | 66c | 17.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 48cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9518…6c1ebacked No | 73c | 16.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 79c | 15.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 87 | 75.9%66 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…3144backed No | 75c | 14.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…8511backed No | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 25?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C or below on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 25?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 42°C on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 43°C on June 25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.