Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb61dc85d8cf6f41982ddfd3c70940cf998e205729326c65c813a06dc84fa523
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,728
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,728 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x162e…fe52backed No | 58c | 3,815$2,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,231.48 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -6.8wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 14c | 811.01$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.57 | 601 | 21%126 W · 475 L | -25.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…a576backed Yes | 45c | 536.04$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.81 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 36c | 498.39$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.27 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ef…1310backed Yes | 44c | 416.91$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.73 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…9a6abacked Yes | 58c | 399.12$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.68 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bd…fe2abacked Yes | 44c | 362.1$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.56 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d2…39b0backed Yes | 56c | 344.96$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.08 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa74…6bcbbacked No | 57c | 339.7$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.76 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…844fbacked Yes | 64c | 326.11$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.66 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf79…7376backed Yes | 61c | 325.19$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.33 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 34c | 316.72$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.48 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed5b…a76abacked Yes | 79c | 316.09$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.29 | 190 | 47.4%90 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 42c | 314.21$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.45 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 47c | 293.46$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.7 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 47c | 288.97$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.41 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1d…55c4backed Yes | 57c | 273.79$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.02 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 69c | 273.62$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.53 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0be4…2ed6backed Yes | 46c | 258.11$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.21 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…443bbacked Yes | 45c | 254.22$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.88 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f8…bfa5backed No | 54c | 249.97$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.98 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6973…b296backed No | 25c | 249.96$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.49 | 137 | 28.5%39 W · 98 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 42c | 241.57$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.32 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 42c | 237.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.26 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 56c | 234.96$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.93 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed No | 54c | 212.88$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.2 | 669 | 44.7%299 W · 370 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 66c | 198.52$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Yes | 46c | 195.67$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.66 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed Yes | 45c | 191.9$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.93 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ef…caabbacked Yes | 43c | 190.31$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.35 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 52c | 188.5$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9df…1e41backed Yes | 71c | 165.54$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -6.1wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x09c2…8210backed Yes | 55c | 155.95$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.09 | 541 | 54%292 W · 249 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…c70bbacked No | 62c | 155.46$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 549 | 66.7%366 W · 183 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 46c | 154.81$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf45d…4039backed Yes | 48c | 147.81$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.7 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -74%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b50…c9babacked Yes | 43c | 142.07$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 451 | 48.6%219 W · 232 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…906abacked Yes | 61c | 141.01$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.23 | 540 | 43.9%237 W · 303 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…681bbacked Yes | 39c | 140.07$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.75 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 42c | 139.68$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.61 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bd…b85abacked No | 29c | 139.15$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.89 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 47c | 138.22$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.17 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 55c | 136.26$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.46 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x256a…c1fbbacked Yes | 43c | 133.12$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.59 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…4408backed No | 59c | 130.6$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.61 | 335 | 67.5%226 W · 109 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 26c | 129.77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…d8debacked Yes | 76c | 128.2$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 57c | 126.21$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.64 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…737abacked Yes | 46c | 123.8$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.05 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…17c0backed Yes | 48c | 123.65$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.3 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 49c | 116.14$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d4…3a45backed Yes | 41c | 114.46$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.4 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167e…0f16backed No | 56c | 112.07$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.76 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b1…339ebacked Yes | 43c | 110.54$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Yes | 74c | 110.12$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 201 | 61.7%124 W · 77 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb12a…cb82backed Yes | 42c | 109.09$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.13 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc97…da82backed Yes | 43c | 108.48$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.55 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfff9…a21abacked No | 62c | 105.29$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.95 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b31…852cbacked Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 257 | 42.4%109 W · 148 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa128…541ebacked No | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff3…a737backed Yes | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.99 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd516…5d04backed No | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 42c | 99.96$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.97 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82f7…4bf0backed Yes | 58c | 99.63$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.17 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaba7…8ff1backed Yes | 36c | 97.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 195 | 41.5%81 W · 114 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…c3b9backed Yes | 39c | 95.23$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +153.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…6c5fbacked No | 60c | 95.16$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.74 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff69…16b5backed Yes | 40c | 94$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 43c | 91.1$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.9 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x261e…c09fbacked Yes | 38c | 90.7$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.47 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 39c | 89.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.79 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…6147backed Yes | 61c | 88.26$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 525 | 33.7%177 W · 348 L | +22.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf7…36d6backed Yes | 60c | 86.6$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.61 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…2ea5backed No | 58c | 86.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc95…0b9cbacked Yes | 43c | 85.27$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 61c | 84.35$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.72 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 47c | 82.15$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d1…0e35backed Yes | 52c | 81.45$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.81 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b42…258fbacked Yes | 46c | 81.25$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a109backed Yes | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff9…fa6abacked Yes | 40c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf53…1720backed Yes | 45c | 79.01$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe445…8750backed No | 54c | 76.67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -5.8wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…1e4ebacked Yes | 65c | 75.65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 321 | 47.4%152 W · 169 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…6754backed Yes | 76c | 74.69$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 354 | 65%230 W · 124 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 57c | 74.63$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.54 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 36c | 72.96$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 50c | 71.85$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.93 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb006…753dbacked Yes | 38c | 70.93$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.77 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked No | 33c | 70.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…c3e5backed Yes | 38c | 69.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.85 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…c820backed Yes | 49c | 69.39$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.59 | 635 | 38.1%242 W · 393 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b5…1948backed No | 53c | 69.29$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.87 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec83…7014backed Yes | 40c | 68.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.39 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc6…d496backed Yes | 46c | 67.46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.11 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 34c | 64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8798…45efbacked Yes | 38c | 62.28$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.84 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…da47backed Yes | 45c | 62.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 264 | 34.1%90 W · 174 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…2ccdbacked Yes | 46c | 61.23$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.84 | 524 | 44.1%231 W · 293 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.