Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53c3ac2ecc0c745aa47a7ec8f9fce3b4fe0eee4adefd89ebaa4b79ecb9a60743
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,401
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,015
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,401 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x28f7…9a6abacked Yes | 19c | 1,706$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.89 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…23a1backed Yes | 25c | 457.24$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.19 | 576 | 14.9%86 W · 490 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ef…1310backed Yes | 26c | 414.68$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.78 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked Yes | 20c | 369.02$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.86 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 27c | 366.3$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.53 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 22c | 353.78$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.8 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 17c | 349.6$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.87 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 17c | 340.93$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.17 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27dd…b696backed Yes | 29c | 335.46$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.15 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 24c | 329.61$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.05 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa74…6bcbbacked Yes | 23c | 316.05$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.94 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…a576backed Yes | 32c | 308.6$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.52 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 74c | 306.64$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.1 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 19c | 300$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…bc23backed No | 67c | 295.72$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.59 | 811 | 65.8%534 W · 277 L | -37.1wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39a9…7c6bbacked Yes | 22c | 292.84$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…9464backed No | 76c | 284.19$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.21 | 132 | 50%66 W · 66 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc35c…be98backed No | 72c | 270.96$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked Yes | 22c | 263.44$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.08 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed Yes | 22c | 257.85$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.92 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…443bbacked Yes | 29c | 256.03$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.36 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4110…c6e9backed No | 79c | 249$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 24c | 248.6$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.45 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c92…3cd0backed Yes | 24c | 237.97$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.76 | 171 | 35.1%60 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5eb6backed No | 78c | 231.42$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 517 | 62.3%322 W · 195 L | -15.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718c…11e0backed No | 71c | 224.37$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.67 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0be4…2ed6backed Yes | 30c | 197.18$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.15 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…a95dbacked No | 74c | 196.66$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.17 | 399 | 66.2%264 W · 135 L | +33.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xded8…ae40backed Yes | 30c | 188.81$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.87 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 27c | 186.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.47 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 24c | 183.88$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.84 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9337…4fc6backed Yes | 17c | 176.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 24c | 169.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.59 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…da47backed Yes | 22c | 169.52$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 264 | 34.1%90 W · 174 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 75c | 166.8$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.01 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 24c | 164.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.85 | 601 | 21%126 W · 475 L | -25.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df8…6c4ebacked Yes | 28c | 163.58$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.65 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a1…69a1backed Yes | 30c | 163.51$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.05 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 72c | 147.91$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.41 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b50…c9babacked Yes | 33c | 142$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.23 | 451 | 48.6%219 W · 232 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…906abacked Yes | 26c | 138.35$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 540 | 43.9%237 W · 303 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 28c | 138.24$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…f6b9backed No | 73c | 135.9$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.69 | 251 | 75.7%190 W · 61 L | +24.7wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +14%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…927fbacked Yes | 24c | 134.83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 183 | 27.3%50 W · 133 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d2…39b0backed No | 73c | 132.92$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5499…cf6dbacked Yes | 27c | 131.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 250 | 37.6%94 W · 156 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…c51dbacked Yes | 27c | 130.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.66 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | +14.3wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 25c | 129.6$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed No | 73c | 126.47$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.61 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…17c0backed Yes | 27c | 125.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6973…b296backed Yes | 23c | 121.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 137 | 28.5%39 W · 98 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed54…4967backed Yes | 27c | 120.87$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 498 | 54.6%272 W · 226 L | +46.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 24c | 118.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 26c | 113.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…69b0backed No | 73c | 111.68$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5efb…5e3bbacked Yes | 29c | 108.51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +47%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…6754backed No | 73c | 106.94$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 354 | 65%230 W · 124 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc501…d0f1backed Yes | 26c | 106.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…d8debacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…e4c0backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 29c | 99.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc0…1912backed Yes | 33c | 99.93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 161 | 16.1%26 W · 135 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd31…0a42backed Yes | 27c | 99.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 126 | 38.1%48 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 74c | 99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaba7…8ff1backed Yes | 25c | 97.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 195 | 41.5%81 W · 114 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 70c | 94.96$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 78c | 94.47$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5104…a114backed Yes | 25c | 91.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 75c | 91.1$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe00b…f8a3backed Yes | 27c | 89.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed Yes | 33c | 88.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f9…cef2backed Yes | 24c | 87.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9df…1e41backed No | 78c | 87.17$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -6.1wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfc95…0b9cbacked Yes | 27c | 81.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eea…00c5backed No | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…6d55backed Yes | 34c | 79.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf53…1720backed Yes | 29c | 78.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee0…f00ebacked Yes | 36c | 77.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4808…5309backed No | 70c | 77.6$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 36cpaid | +251.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd09a…a603backed Yes | 24c | 76.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…1adfbacked No | 78c | 75.08$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 312 | 62.5%195 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 75c | 72.62$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef3…519dbacked No | 77c | 71.68$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed No | 77c | 71.33$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2e…d8a9backed No | 69c | 69.69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.91 | 79 | 79.7%63 W · 16 L | +9.4wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec83…7014backed Yes | 33c | 69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf45d…4039backed Yes | 33c | 68.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -74%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x988a…9e6fbacked No | 77c | 68.06$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked Yes | 29c | 68.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 72c | 67.43$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4179…cceebacked No | 73c | 65.08$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 429 | 76.5%328 W · 101 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9471…eb8abacked Yes | 25c | 61.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…1f9bbacked Yes | 26c | 60.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd4…6084backed Yes | 31c | 60.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77fc…0eacbacked Yes | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a109backed Yes | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…e7b7backed No | 74c | 56.18$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 1,585 | 78.5%1,244 W · 341 L | +39.7wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 72c | 55.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x017c…00c3backed Yes | 25c | 55.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 250 | 42.4%106 W · 144 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 22c | 54.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 24?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.