TailMyPicks

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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Group B

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ilbirs eSportsof Ilbirs eSports, Power Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,977
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,909

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,977 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x40db…ca8cbacked Ilbirs eSports64c4,344$2,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,565.0654058.9%318 W · 222 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Power Rangers79c3,679$2,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,920.1471143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked Ilbirs eSports19c2,455$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,984.8819547.7%93 W · 102 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Ilbirs eSports21c2,247$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,776.62,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfab…f067backed Ilbirs eSports21c2,114$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,664.4448057.1%274 W · 206 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Ilbirs eSports11c1,956$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,745.9569835.2%246 W · 452 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb55…51ddbacked Ilbirs eSports25c1,660$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,252.0635960.4%217 W · 142 L-1.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed Power Rangers42c1,428$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.761968.4%13 W · 6 L+5.1wins+0.27per pick42cpaid+78.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked Power Rangers80c1,249$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.1279859%471 W · 327 L+16.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Power Rangers74c1,052$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.6877256.5%436 W · 336 L+30.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x149a…49d0backed Power Rangers80c999.99$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.9950769.2%351 W · 156 L+33.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ilbirs eSports19c922.78$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.882,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Power Rangers59c892.97$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.1854246.7%253 W · 289 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Ilbirs eSports23c795.24$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.091,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Power Rangers75c757.68$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.461,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Ilbirs eSports29c753.22$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.644753.2%25 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fd3…3d7abacked Ilbirs eSports17c600$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49829047.9%139 W · 151 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Ilbirs eSports38c590.33$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.841,28045%576 W · 704 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd737…b714backed Power Rangers67c534.04$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357520%1 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.45per pick65cpaid-73.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Ilbirs eSports34c524.08$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.895949.2%29 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Ilbirs eSports22c512.51$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.796645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb09…0f04backed Ilbirs eSports20c500$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4001040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07fa…f5cdbacked Ilbirs eSports23c500$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38546240.7%188 W · 274 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xffc4…b347backed Power Rangers75c499.97$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.9829466%194 W · 100 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed Ilbirs eSports24c496.33$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.141455.6%230 W · 184 L+41.4wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Ilbirs eSports25c489.97$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.381,26049.7%626 W · 634 L+21.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Power Rangers78c446.5$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.4950353.9%271 W · 232 L+26.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed Power Rangers3c399.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122110.5%1 W · 210 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-99.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Ilbirs eSports24c392.51$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.351,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41a0…87e7backed Ilbirs eSports30c390.91$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.8610933%36 W · 73 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc2b…cec3backed Ilbirs eSports20c390$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3124047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed Ilbirs eSports22c357.39$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.1660251.2%308 W · 294 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93fd…a5edbacked Power Rangers10c346.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6340644.6%181 W · 225 L+0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked Ilbirs eSports24c333.03$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.0414943%64 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Ilbirs eSports31c321.77$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.631,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9868…e82bbacked Ilbirs eSports23c294.84$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.833138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Power Rangers69c270.99$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.911,15447.7%550 W · 604 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Ilbirs eSports24c250$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.1743860.5%265 W · 173 L+44.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x41a5…75bbbacked Ilbirs eSports32c250$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17061449.5%304 W · 310 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Ilbirs eSports58c246.55$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.5540442.3%171 W · 233 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked Power Rangers71c232.82$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16515069.3%104 W · 46 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick73cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdf1…c324backed Ilbirs eSports16c231.25$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.253633.3%12 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7004…a778backed Ilbirs eSports11c228.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.42862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+100.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82b0…7c38backed Ilbirs eSports79c206.07$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2716055.6%89 W · 71 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed Ilbirs eSports20c195$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15624138.6%93 W · 148 L-18.0wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde1d…dfaabacked Ilbirs eSports22c180.14$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.142259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x347d…098abacked Power Rangers76c159.57$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.971942.1%8 W · 11 L-3.8wins-0.20per pick62cpaid-37.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed Ilbirs eSports19c146.63$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.776331.7%20 W · 43 L-8.5wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-33%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xda33…cd9abacked Ilbirs eSports23c141.58$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.314257.1%24 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Power Rangers60c141.14$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.5678516.6%130 W · 655 L-135.4wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-66.7%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed Ilbirs eSports11c139.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.5940844.1%180 W · 228 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9d1…6194backed Ilbirs eSports23c137.54$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.612360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9aa8…a338backed Ilbirs eSports23c137.54$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.923366.7%22 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe82c…4d90backed Ilbirs eSports11c124.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.99757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+98.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b90…08e7backed Ilbirs eSports18c122.97$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.8438244.5%170 W · 212 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Ilbirs eSports30c113.86$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.766545.6%303 W · 362 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Power Rangers78c112.69$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.926147.9%125 W · 136 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Ilbirs eSports28c106.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.4531251.3%160 W · 152 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb35a…c452backed Ilbirs eSports11c100$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.89per pick11cpaid+809.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x703b…e371backed Ilbirs eSports31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6951544.9%231 W · 284 L+40.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+3.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x88aa…2f5ebacked Power Rangers76c80$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.83455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2230…c3b7backed Power Rangers76c80$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.82839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Ilbirs eSports21c73.31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.0823342.9%100 W · 133 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08fa…f1e0backed Ilbirs eSports23c71.46$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.781345.1%367 W · 446 L-26.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9a4…dbc9backed Power Rangers41c65.25$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.99650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e69…553abacked Power Rangers65c63.89$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.532944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa099…b1d4backed Ilbirs eSports44c57.41$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.412564%16 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Ilbirs eSports26c54.84$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7895841.1%394 W · 564 L+32.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Ilbirs eSports21c51.59$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6471342.5%303 W · 410 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70ec…81bebacked Power Rangers39c51.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.11366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+45%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Ilbirs eSports50c50.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0525349.4%125 W · 128 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88fa…b50bbacked Ilbirs eSports30c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356237.1%23 W · 39 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Ilbirs eSports26c48.92$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9791553.3%488 W · 427 L+48.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x490e…123abacked Power Rangers42c44.13$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Power Rangers75c38.61$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8818652.2%97 W · 89 L+9.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x03ba…ab49backed Power Rangers65c38.46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda67…0b91backed Ilbirs eSports44c35.16$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.532548%12 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1c6…2d29backed Ilbirs eSports44c35.05$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.474057.5%23 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x968a…3841backed Power Rangers39c34.09$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3420939.2%82 W · 127 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Power Rangers65c34.02$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.073286.4%21 W · 307 L-102.4wins-0.31per pick38cpaid-72.6%equal weight18-0.29 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Power Rangers71c32.63$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0793546.4%434 W · 501 L-15.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked Power Rangers77c30.2$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2512255.7%68 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Power Rangers71c30$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.344474.8%332 W · 112 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ad…34cebacked Power Rangers65c29.23$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194845.8%22 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x53e2…c81fbacked Power Rangers73c28.88$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+21.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc5e…f0c5backed Power Rangers73c28.62$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.793571.4%25 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick76cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x463f…8055backed Power Rangers77c24.66$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192176.2%16 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick71cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bce…db46backed Ilbirs eSports79c19.07$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.07757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.