Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2103250703282a9bc71bdafd303fea9376cc2e0a36ac97bea33cb819d2ac95df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Power Rangersof Ilbirs eSports, Power Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,962
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,962 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Ilbirs eSports | 21c | 4,090$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.5 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cde…96e2backed Power Rangers | 79c | 1,020$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.18 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Power Rangers | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Ilbirs eSports | 24c | 703.82$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.86 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Ilbirs eSports | 22c | 680$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.8 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Ilbirs eSports | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Ilbirs eSports | 14c | 451.55$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.43 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Power Rangers | 78c | 384.43$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.43 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Ilbirs eSports | 18c | 353.8$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.1 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Ilbirs eSports | 18c | 353.8$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.64 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Ilbirs eSports | 18c | 323.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.56 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Ilbirs eSports | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Power Rangers | 76c | 287.01$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.98 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Ilbirs eSports | 7c | 226.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Power Rangers | 76c | 196.76$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.22 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked Power Rangers | 75c | 135$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Power Rangers | 75c | 131.48$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…08e7backed Ilbirs eSports | 21c | 110.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 382 | 44.5%170 W · 212 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5f…6ee5backed Power Rangers | 79c | 101.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa091…f1c1backed Ilbirs eSports | 21c | 94.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Ilbirs eSports | 24c | 79.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Power Rangers | 76c | 76.52$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Ilbirs eSports | 16c | 74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Power Rangers | 78c | 62.9$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5e…f0c5backed Power Rangers | 78c | 41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Power Rangers | 79c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88aa…2f5ebacked Power Rangers | 79c | 39.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Power Rangers | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…0b91backed Power Rangers | 76c | 15.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c6…2d29backed Power Rangers | 76c | 15.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9632…a379backed Power Rangers | 76c | 15.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Group BIlbirs eSports won
- Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers - Game 1 WinnerIlbirs eSports won
- Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?Yes won
- Game Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Ilbirs eSports (+1.5)Ilbirs eSports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.