Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe44aa9db23985bf8a7e54b1063b193057c1fe561eb16669d845041f098ebe854
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ilbirs eSportsof Ilbirs eSports, Power Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,395
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,265
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,395 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Power Rangers | 39c | 7,254$2,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,845.97 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Power Rangers | 1c | 3,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 122 | 17.2%21 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Power Rangers | 1c | 2,250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 104 | 0%0 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Power Rangers | 33c | 1,920$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.8 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Ilbirs eSports | 58c | 1,827$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.28 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked Ilbirs eSports | 77c | 1,683$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.55 | 127 | 64.6%82 W · 45 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Ilbirs eSports | 47c | 1,518$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.23 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Ilbirs eSports | 65c | 1,472$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.96 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Power Rangers | 57c | 1,421$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.91 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Ilbirs eSports | 48c | 1,388$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.66 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…dfaabacked Ilbirs eSports | 72c | 1,237$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.17 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Power Rangers | 66c | 1,051$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.05 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Ilbirs eSports | 46c | 885.29$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.29 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Ilbirs eSports | 64c | 847.1$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.77 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Power Rangers | 38c | 629.92$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.09 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Power Rangers | 57c | 516.63$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.65 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Ilbirs eSports | 60c | 508$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.65 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Power Rangers | 3c | 499.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ilbirs eSports | 20c | 495.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.66 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ilbirs eSports | 58c | 494.15$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.07 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Power Rangers | 17c | 470$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.69 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Power Rangers | 6c | 454$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Power Rangers | 6c | 445$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Power Rangers | 9c | 428.78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Ilbirs eSports | 19c | 417.02$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.79 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2b…cec3backed Ilbirs eSports | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Ilbirs eSports | 60c | 330.67$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.67 | 131 | 45%59 W · 72 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…c3b7backed Power Rangers | 17c | 311.51$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.96 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Ilbirs eSports | 14c | 300$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed Ilbirs eSports | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked Power Rangers | 17c | 300$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Power Rangers | 79c | 280.75$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Power Rangers | 42c | 258.34$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.22 | 194 | 58.8%114 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…3841backed Ilbirs eSports | 52c | 229.28$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.38 | 209 | 39.2%82 W · 127 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Power Rangers | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Power Rangers | 46c | 169.39$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.28 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Power Rangers | 51c | 168.97$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.01 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x926d…f416backed Ilbirs eSports | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked Ilbirs eSports | 41c | 165$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Power Rangers | 80c | 162.78$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.22 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Power Rangers | 77c | 160$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.6 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed Power Rangers | 47c | 139.38$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…08e7backed Ilbirs eSports | 20c | 122.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.22 | 382 | 44.5%170 W · 212 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Power Rangers | 40c | 121.45$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Power Rangers | 47c | 119.84$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.46 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Power Rangers | 49c | 117.92$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c8…c192backed Ilbirs eSports | 19c | 110.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.53 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Ilbirs eSports | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8edb…d34dbacked Ilbirs eSports | 15c | 93.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.67 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.3wins | +0.43per pick | 47cpaid | +142.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Power Rangers | 41c | 87.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Ilbirs eSports | 24c | 83.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.25 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Ilbirs eSports | 60c | 69.33$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Power Rangers | 41c | 66.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd439…21d3backed Power Rangers | 38c | 65.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | -18.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Power Rangers | 78c | 64.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.45 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeff4…2aa4backed Ilbirs eSports | 60c | 64.06$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88aa…2f5ebacked Power Rangers | 32c | 55.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed Power Rangers | 35c | 45.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked Power Rangers | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Ilbirs eSports | 29c | 36.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa099…b1d4backed Ilbirs eSports | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fa…b50bbacked Ilbirs eSports | 47c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4994…3e36backed Power Rangers | 55c | 18.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 99 | 64.6%64 W · 35 L | +19.9wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Group BIlbirs eSports won
- Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers - Game 2 WinnerPower Rangers won
- Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?Yes won
- Game Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Ilbirs eSports (+1.5)Ilbirs eSports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.