Mls · resolved market
Exact Score: St. Louis City SC 3 - 2 Sporting Kansas City?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa08555281e2f1ce87ae9048ff7be53f79e59eeacc3daeb6be893ce322c9f67de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,023
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,280
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,023 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4156…997ebacked Yes | 64c | 1,673$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.79 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 42c | 1,442$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.86 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 68c | 996.07$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.57 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 37c | 819.22$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 74c | 577.68$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.54 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…5513backed Yes | 5c | 460$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.3 | 42 | 7.1%3 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f1…6d2fbacked Yes | 68c | 396$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.76 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 58c | 367.69$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.34 | 187 | 74.3%139 W · 48 L | +33.5wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 58c | 342.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.45 | 191 | 72.3%138 W · 53 L | +36.8wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 34c | 331.85$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.66 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Yes | 76c | 294.36$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.69 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked No | 16c | 245$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 76c | 199.93$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.98 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 58c | 178.98$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.53 | 222 | 69.4%154 W · 68 L | +31.4wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Yes | 63c | 143$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.91 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +13.7wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Yes | 58c | 89.64$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a4…dbc9backed No | 42c | 65.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ec…81bebacked No | 38c | 45.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Yes | 66c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: St. Louis City SC 3 - 2 Sporting Kansas City?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: St. Louis City SC 0 - 0 Sporting Kansas City?No won
- Exact Score: St. Louis City SC 0 - 3 Sporting Kansas City?No won
- Exact Score: St. Louis City SC 1 - 1 Sporting Kansas City?No won
- Exact Score: St. Louis City SC 1 - 2 Sporting Kansas City?No won
- Exact Score: St. Louis City SC 2 - 0 Sporting Kansas City?No won
- Exact Score: St. Louis City SC 2 - 1 Sporting Kansas City?No won
- Exact Score: St. Louis City SC 2 - 2 Sporting Kansas City?No won
- Exact Score: St. Louis City SC 3 - 0 Sporting Kansas City?No won
- Exact Score: St. Louis City SC 3 - 1 Sporting Kansas City?No won
- Exact Score: St. Louis City SC 3 - 3 Sporting Kansas City?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.