TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$171,638
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$177,088

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,638 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes25c40,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,999.97812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-81.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No75c16,232$12,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,057.9713744.5%61 W · 76 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes8c15,157$1,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,192.31,49738.6%578 W · 919 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No74c10,000$7,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,599.943053.3%16 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes4c9,508$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.423,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes6c9,133$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.2598833.4%330 W · 658 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No75c7,307$5,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,826.722,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Yes26c7,100$1,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,846666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+89.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No76c6,579$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,578.9540357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No75c6,524$4,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,63115459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes26c4,354$1,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,131.955651.8%29 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f8b…e8e7backed No74c3,950$2,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-32.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Yes26c3,848$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005248.1%25 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes24c3,826$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.241,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e5a…0122backed Yes26c3,269$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8503611.1%4 W · 32 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-64%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No75c3,200$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80011054.5%60 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No74c3,000$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7808160.5%49 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No75c2,400$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6009457.4%54 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62ff…7ac2backed No75c2,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc899…e1fdbacked No75c1,967$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.63887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick73cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes15c1,848$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.114,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes25c1,654$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.528045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No75c1,500$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3752853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes18c1,458$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.191,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No75c1,400$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35010760.7%65 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Yes9c1,388$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9310127.7%28 W · 73 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-35.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes2c1,369$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3868050.4%343 W · 337 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55e0…1141backed Yes23c1,317$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.8230%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked No75c1,309$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.339566.3%63 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No75c1,200$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30010558.1%61 W · 44 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No74c1,193$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.2947653.8%256 W · 220 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No74c1,184$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.846360.3%38 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes25c1,108$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.9992345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Yes25c1,019$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.857337%27 W · 46 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes25c1,000$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.6763757.1%364 W · 273 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26017759.3%105 W · 72 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2507358.9%43 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Yes24c999.99$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2402740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked No75c987.4$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.851457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Yes24c902.85$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.683565.7%23 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No75c800$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20012159.5%72 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No75c800$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20010257.8%59 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c1…6b32backed Yes26c769.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x604d…4608backed Yes26c769.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007635.5%27 W · 49 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes14c684.18$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.8841351.8%214 W · 199 L+17.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No75c600$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15010759.8%64 W · 43 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No75c600$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1509056.7%51 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecf5…6e26backed Yes2c558.07$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2950%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes23c538$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.1558548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No75c520$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1309058.9%53 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No75c520$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1309556.8%54 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Yes4c501.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205343.4%23 W · 30 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+15.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3b38…df69backed Yes4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef3e…9e72backed Yes25c499.98$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.99425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-58.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed No76c483$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.432356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes23c442.95$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.3333244%146 W · 186 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes26c432.85$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.541421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-65.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No74c400$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10419255.2%106 W · 86 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017159.1%101 W · 70 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4583…6ca4backed Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44f4…f3dabacked Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001020%2 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8103…4d0abacked Yes11c370$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402646.2%12 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.16per pick30cpaid+63%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfdc1…1efbbacked Yes26c350$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No75c320$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809753.6%52 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No75c312$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789660.4%58 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No75c312$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789354.8%51 W · 42 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes26c306.72$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.4719840.4%80 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes6c300$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3213728.5%39 W · 98 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No75c280$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708758.6%51 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a76…7314backed Yes26c264.45$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7b9…30b5backed Yes26c259.66$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes26c230.42$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9111342.5%48 W · 65 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8b…9cd7backed Yes26c225.58$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+31.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes26c204.38$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1433734.7%117 W · 220 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9e7…0365backed No75c203.52$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.882958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked No75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a16…5f47backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013644.9%61 W · 75 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0a6…8529backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-52.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked No75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509060%54 W · 36 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507856.4%44 W · 34 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508457.1%48 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed No75c195.05$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.769167%61 W · 30 L+8.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+13.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9989…89bfbacked Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-25.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503330.3%10 W · 23 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Yes17c191.41$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-74.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1fa…d6ccbacked No78c190.28$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.86666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bce…4b01backed Yes9c180.84$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.75425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-30.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes26c150$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3913426.1%35 W · 99 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No76c136.58$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7892254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf87…cc46backed Yes25c136.18$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.054037.5%15 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Yes26c134.62$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3521457.5%123 W · 91 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Yes26c134.62$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3520630.6%63 W · 143 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xacd1…0689backed Yes23c130.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303732.4%12 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84fd…2f81backed Yes26c130$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.85644.6%25 W · 31 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4c9…98b9backed No75c124.89$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.224676.1%35 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick72cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes10c122.82$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2818842%79 W · 109 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf2f…06bebacked Yes23c121.74$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick33cpaid-60.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No74c119.12$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9169350.9%353 W · 340 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcbb4…299abacked No75c113.75$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.443100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+67.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.