Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Bondar vs Uchijima
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1229208a3b2f2c5c4f138dd8d2ca5aaf1bebcc379452dc44570ad0a835e9653b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bondarof Bondar, Uchijima
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,974
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,156
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,974 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Bondar | 72c | 3,651$2,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.53 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x565c…878dbacked Uchijima | 35c | 2,745$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.7 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Uchijima | 58c | 1,428$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.24 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Bondar | 42c | 1,428$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.24 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d26…ca0ebacked Uchijima | 16c | 1,235$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x421e…1e47backed Uchijima | 24c | 383.33$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Bondar | 67c | 252.52$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.18 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Uchijima | 33c | 242.42$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Bondar | 61c | 163.71$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 155 | 32.9%51 W · 104 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Bondar | 69c | 128$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.23 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160a…43d3backed Uchijima | 16c | 120.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -8.8wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb7…0acebacked Uchijima | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Uchijima | 59c | 102.19$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x253f…4253backed Bondar | 52c | 94.23$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.23 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Bondar | 72c | 93.51$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.48 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a2…a5ffbacked Uchijima | 22c | 88.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 151 | 35.1%53 W · 98 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Bondar | 69c | 72.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a4…dbc9backed Bondar | 41c | 69.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.14 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ec…81bebacked Bondar | 41c | 58.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcff8…bea7backed Uchijima | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Bondar | 70c | 53.86$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6c…d1ccbacked Bondar | 77c | 39.86$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Bondar | 43c | 31.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21d9…4968backed Bondar | 54c | 27.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bondar | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Bondar | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 587 | 50.4%296 W · 291 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Bondar | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Bondar vs Uchijimathis page
- Bondar vs. Uchijima: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Bondar vs. Uchijima: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Hamburg European Open: Anna Bondar vs Moyuka UchijimaAnna Bondar won
- Set Handicap: Bondar (-1.5) vs Uchijima (+1.5)Bondar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.