CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a6f9477a2c59a1e5120c88c49820abbc3c30b5c9fb52d42768fec3eb642d4ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HOTUof HOTU, KOLESIE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,582
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,800
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,582 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed KOLESIE | 49c | 3,921$1,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.26 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked HOTU | 1c | 3,720$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,682.8 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed KOLESIE | 35c | 1,714$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.9 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +6.8wins | +0.20per pick | 39cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed KOLESIE | 24c | 925.87$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.14 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked KOLESIE | 37c | 704.75$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.01 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked KOLESIE | 39c | 624$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.33 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked KOLESIE | 41c | 593.47$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.72 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked HOTU | 48c | 473.26$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.06 | 211 | 46%97 W · 114 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed KOLESIE | 50c | 453.03$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.29 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked KOLESIE | 25c | 338$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.88 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked KOLESIE | 28c | 306.05$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.04 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed HOTU | 34c | 303.63$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.36 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…a5c9backed HOTU | 53c | 275$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.65 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked KOLESIE | 24c | 240$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d78…b8b9backed HOTU | 64c | 230.36$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.36 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed KOLESIE | 72c | 208.83$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.76 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed KOLESIE | 36c | 196.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.09 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed KOLESIE | 53c | 185.68$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.97 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked KOLESIE | 33c | 181.17$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked HOTU | 41c | 177.25$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.82 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked HOTU | 22c | 175.55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.41 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed HOTU | 24c | 175.16$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.12 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed KOLESIE | 41c | 171.89$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.44 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed KOLESIE | 66c | 166.5$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.91 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked KOLESIE | 35c | 163.57$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked KOLESIE | 44c | 143.86$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.9 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed KOLESIE | 42c | 132.24$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked HOTU | 78c | 128$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf424…9723backed KOLESIE | 32c | 115.82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 211 | 35.5%75 W · 136 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked KOLESIE | 34c | 108.4$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.62 | 100 | 29%29 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24f5…98d2backed HOTU | 43c | 101$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked HOTU | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 366 | 45.6%167 W · 199 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed HOTU | 54c | 92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.51 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ec…81bebacked KOLESIE | 29c | 89.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked HOTU | 77c | 85.55$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 397 | 72.5%288 W · 109 L | +38.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked HOTU | 55c | 81.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.07 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked KOLESIE | 53c | 81.43$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a60…a744backed HOTU | 61c | 81.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a4…dbc9backed KOLESIE | 36c | 80.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked KOLESIE | 31c | 74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked KOLESIE | 41c | 49.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked HOTU | 41c | 47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…5ad0backed KOLESIE | 56c | 46.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…6099backed HOTU | 52c | 42.45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked HOTU | 63c | 41.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…123abacked KOLESIE | 37c | 40.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd12…0b88backed KOLESIE | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed KOLESIE | 76c | 38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed KOLESIE | 76c | 37.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed KOLESIE | 29c | 37.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…7b0bbacked KOLESIE | 65c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 102 | 27.5%28 W · 74 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed KOLESIE | 46c | 26.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed HOTU | 52c | 25.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…355fbacked HOTU | 72c | 20.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked HOTU | 62c | 20.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series PlayoffsHOTU won
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE - Map 1 WinnerHOTU won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: HOTU (-1.5) vs KOLESIE (+1.5)HOTU won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.