CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd75d50af9c05d24be0bdf5cf3ea892ab88e856615d23c2719ec25d7dc76ca4b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HOTUof HOTU, KOLESIE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,763
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,630
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,763 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4cfd…5c91backed KOLESIE | 10c | 3,500$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 126 | 27%34 W · 92 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf424…9723backed KOLESIE | 11c | 1,932$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.26 | 211 | 35.5%75 W · 136 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked KOLESIE | 37c | 857.39$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.54 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed KOLESIE | 21c | 843.84$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.97 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked HOTU | 63c | 840.68$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.6 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked HOTU | 62c | 749.93$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.84 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked KOLESIE | 40c | 749.07$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 526 | 36.5%192 W · 334 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked KOLESIE | 16c | 713.4$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.22 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed KOLESIE | 37c | 563.13$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.33 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed KOLESIE | 19c | 507.04$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.27 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked KOLESIE | 18c | 497.51$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.38 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55f2…7381backed HOTU | 63c | 492.1$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.09 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed KOLESIE | 22c | 415$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.85 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked HOTU | 69c | 395.75$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.3 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed KOLESIE | 18c | 362.78$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.51 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed KOLESIE | 22c | 351.2$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.49 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed HOTU | 64c | 311.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.85 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed KOLESIE | 23c | 307.49$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.19 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked KOLESIE | 16c | 300$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked KOLESIE | 20c | 293.05$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.32 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7e…9546backed KOLESIE | 33c | 250$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…ef30backed KOLESIE | 17c | 220$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed KOLESIE | 14c | 217.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 404 | 49.8%201 W · 203 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed KOLESIE | 35c | 210.74$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.76 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked KOLESIE | 25c | 209.8$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.16 | 397 | 72.5%288 W · 109 L | +38.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed HOTU | 62c | 208.66$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.29 | 171 | 62%106 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d65…6a04backed KOLESIE | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.95 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d4…9c83backed KOLESIE | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed KOLESIE | 36c | 199.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed KOLESIE | 15c | 185.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked KOLESIE | 29c | 179.97$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.03 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed KOLESIE | 16c | 166$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 193 | 40.4%78 W · 115 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed KOLESIE | 37c | 159$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.83 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed HOTU | 64c | 156.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked KOLESIE | 18c | 136.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked KOLESIE | 28c | 130.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.33 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed KOLESIE | 33c | 123$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed KOLESIE | 32c | 116.87$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.93 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed HOTU | 67c | 116.72$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.52 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked HOTU | 59c | 112.2$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked KOLESIE | 31c | 109.26$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed HOTU | 62c | 102.78$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…2605backed HOTU | 64c | 99.03$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.03 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed KOLESIE | 34c | 93.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked KOLESIE | 15c | 91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked KOLESIE | 18c | 91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed KOLESIE | 38c | 90.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed KOLESIE | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 838 | 56.1%470 W · 368 L | +31.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x285a…0126backed HOTU | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc29c…1e43backed HOTU | 67c | 74.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 236 | 54.7%129 W · 107 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked HOTU | 65c | 73.85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | -20.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d9…c572backed HOTU | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 187 | 50.8%95 W · 92 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb084…be70backed KOLESIE | 19c | 64.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1c…35c6backed HOTU | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed KOLESIE | 40c | 55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…7c12backed HOTU | 76c | 51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 523 | 69.4%363 W · 160 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed HOTU | 61c | 40.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd37…9d71backed HOTU | 65c | 39.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…3bb0backed HOTU | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 557 | 49.7%277 W · 280 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked HOTU | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1,274 | 71.5%911 W · 363 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked HOTU | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked HOTU | 62c | 29.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9444…048ebacked KOLESIE | 39c | 26.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed KOLESIE | 41c | 25.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked HOTU | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked HOTU | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…93f1backed HOTU | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked HOTU | 68c | 14.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE - Map 1 WinnerHOTU won
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE - Map 2 WinnerHOTU won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: HOTU (-1.5) vs KOLESIE (+1.5)HOTU won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.