Tennis · resolved market
ITF Buzau: Madison Sieg vs Nicole Gadient
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59e9d091cc40f2474597b5a3827d992426a2ef738b691726a78ef90ae089a6b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Madison Siegof Madison Sieg, Nicole Gadient
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,619
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,843
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,619 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Madison Sieg | 79c | 5,306$4,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.71 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Nicole Gadient | 12c | 3,058$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.57 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Nicole Gadient | 31c | 2,095$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.04 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Nicole Gadient | 32c | 1,874$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.67 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Madison Sieg | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Madison Sieg | 76c | 729.12$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.23 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Madison Sieg | 67c | 407.33$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.1 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Nicole Gadient | 17c | 299.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.29 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Nicole Gadient | 27c | 281.44$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.3 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nicole Gadient | 8c | 250.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Madison Sieg | 75c | 241.82$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.4 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Madison Sieg | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Nicole Gadient | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 178 | 10.7%19 W · 159 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Nicole Gadient | 29c | 98.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Nicole Gadient | 26c | 88.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Madison Sieg | 78c | 88.21$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 273 | 63.4%173 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Nicole Gadient | 32c | 74.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Madison Sieg | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a4…dbc9backed Nicole Gadient | 33c | 70.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Nicole Gadient | 29c | 59.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Madison Sieg | 68c | 41.89$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Madison Sieg | 55c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 353 | 49.9%176 W · 177 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Madison Sieg | 68c | 28.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Madison Sieg | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Madison Sieg | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.