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Tennis · resolved market

Contrexeville: Francesca Jones vs Leolia Jeanjean

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Leolia Jeanjeanof Francesca Jones, Leolia Jeanjean
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$179,838
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$194,827

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,838 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x076d…8d4cbacked Leolia Jeanjean42c26,613$11,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,467.344,37652.3%2,290 W · 2,086 L+67.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Francesca Jones67c16,718$11,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,261.169,16136.1%3,309 W · 5,852 L-202.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x249e…dca1backed Francesca Jones1c11,900$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1191030%3 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-46.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Francesca Jones68c6,332$4,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,293.4711,77943.3%5,102 W · 6,677 L+20.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41cf…6002backed Leolia Jeanjean25c6,089$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,569.115016%8 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+22.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Francesca Jones61c5,437$3,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,301.5794340.7%384 W · 559 L-30.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ace…c46ebacked Leolia Jeanjean13c5,351$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,65128221.6%61 W · 221 L+0.6wins0.00per pick21cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Leolia Jeanjean46c5,222$2,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,819.872161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Leolia Jeanjean17c4,708$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,888.984,78449.6%2,372 W · 2,412 L+177.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Francesca Jones50c4,200$2,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,089.52,49251.3%1,279 W · 1,213 L+15.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked Francesca Jones33c3,333$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1006835.3%24 W · 44 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-27.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Francesca Jones72c3,061$2,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,215.758,83442.5%3,758 W · 5,076 L-169.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Francesca Jones78c2,647$2,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,071.674,99238.6%1,927 W · 3,065 L-19.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0467…fb2ebacked Francesca Jones49c1,855$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.0713025.4%33 W · 97 L-13.6wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-28%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf1aa…9359backed Leolia Jeanjean44c1,845$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.5520535.1%72 W · 133 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4064…5f1ebacked Leolia Jeanjean29c1,803$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,274.1528039.3%110 W · 170 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed Francesca Jones38c1,578$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.649744.3%43 W · 54 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+29.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Leolia Jeanjean35c1,543$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.283,19557.3%1,830 W · 1,365 L+178.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Francesca Jones65c1,430$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.384,62667.8%3,135 W · 1,491 L+310.5wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Leolia Jeanjean52c1,261$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.573,35948.5%1,630 W · 1,729 L-49.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Francesca Jones71c1,077$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.14,27745%1,925 W · 2,352 L+21.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Leolia Jeanjean25c1,059$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.519,40644.3%4,171 W · 5,235 L-245.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26bd…1af5backed Leolia Jeanjean38c935.58$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.3322647.8%108 W · 118 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Leolia Jeanjean51c850$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.563651.7%329 W · 307 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Francesca Jones49c804$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.151,22953.1%653 W · 576 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Leolia Jeanjean29c788.08$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.082,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdec4…046fbacked Leolia Jeanjean13c758.2$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.217829.2%52 W · 126 L+0.7wins0.00per pick29cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Francesca Jones46c750$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.362,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Leolia Jeanjean44c700.98$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.551,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Leolia Jeanjean52c700$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3362,78153.8%1,495 W · 1,286 L+71.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Leolia Jeanjean51c649.98$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.4938344.9%172 W · 211 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Francesca Jones79c632$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.281,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Leolia Jeanjean29c584.69$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.1388637%328 W · 558 L-4.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2acd…d0b6backed Francesca Jones66c454.55$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014153.2%75 W · 66 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3f9…45a7backed Francesca Jones68c443.15$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30038466.7%256 W · 128 L+0.8wins0.00per pick66cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Francesca Jones49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20095237.7%359 W · 593 L-9.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0267…7f7ebacked Leolia Jeanjean23c405.33$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.9330436.2%110 W · 194 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda70…37e3backed Francesca Jones76c394.87$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005747.4%27 W · 30 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2002…a75ebacked Leolia Jeanjean27c388.62$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.9433544.2%148 W · 187 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Francesca Jones59c365.84$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.354,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Francesca Jones59c359.12$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.275,45556.4%3,074 W · 2,381 L+234.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Francesca Jones52c359.04$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.616,79836.9%2,507 W · 4,291 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d74…f2abbacked Leolia Jeanjean28c347.11$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.9243334.9%151 W · 282 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5160…ac0bbacked Francesca Jones73c332.02$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.7610469.2%72 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick71cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Francesca Jones62c322.01$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,67553.1%889 W · 786 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Francesca Jones79c316.93$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.271,83253%971 W · 861 L-45.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Leolia Jeanjean13c280$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.770730%212 W · 495 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8369…7d63backed Francesca Jones76c277.39$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.82771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+20.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Francesca Jones48c245$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.61,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa205…d809backed Francesca Jones69c235.09$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16310146.5%47 W · 54 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ab8…8872backed Francesca Jones49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Francesca Jones67c200.32$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.141,49643.6%652 W · 844 L-29.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Leolia Jeanjean55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901,20652.4%632 W · 574 L+27.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Francesca Jones45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903,89135%1,362 W · 2,529 L+93.9wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Francesca Jones49c197.96$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972,28642.9%980 W · 1,306 L+37.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd28…374abacked Leolia Jeanjean51c197$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.5314756.5%83 W · 64 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Francesca Jones23c191.3$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443,45738.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L-15.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Francesca Jones46c190$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.469644.5%310 W · 386 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Francesca Jones80c187.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Francesca Jones70c183$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.12,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Francesca Jones66c166.06$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.015,55348.6%2,700 W · 2,853 L+16.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb77e…2ac6backed Francesca Jones79c158.23$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12514062.1%87 W · 53 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-0.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfae3…5228backed Francesca Jones80c158.08$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.463360.6%20 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ed2…0ddabacked Francesca Jones49c153.84$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.3833152.6%174 W · 157 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93d7…c7a6backed Francesca Jones45c151.5$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.1716755.7%93 W · 74 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Francesca Jones23c139.13$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321,35638.3%520 W · 836 L+2.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Francesca Jones49c138.02$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.638,05750.8%4,089 W · 3,968 L+90.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…5696backed Leolia Jeanjean79c132.34$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7921688%190 W · 26 L+35.2wins+0.16per pick72cpaid+22.4%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x70ec…81bebacked Francesca Jones38c128.53$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.843732.4%12 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72a0…9bc4backed Francesca Jones79c126.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2547274.4%351 W · 121 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x641f…049abacked Francesca Jones47c126.68$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609257.6%53 W · 39 L+7.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Leolia Jeanjean52c125$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6040360.8%245 W · 158 L-0.6wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0320…3757backed Francesca Jones68c124.4$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8511666.4%77 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Leolia Jeanjean22c120.42$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.121,96043.8%858 W · 1,102 L-20.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Leolia Jeanjean52c120$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.669253.3%369 W · 323 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Francesca Jones68c103.06$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.246,67850.7%3,387 W · 3,291 L+265.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Francesca Jones49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036349.6%180 W · 183 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Leolia Jeanjean25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9897852%509 W · 469 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x548c…4767backed Francesca Jones47c98.36$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.23944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick67cpaid-37.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Francesca Jones51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,63946.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Francesca Jones47c93$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1725828.3%73 W · 185 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf442…2581backed Francesca Jones56c90$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.767275%54 W · 18 L+11.5wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+21.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf753…bcfebacked Leolia Jeanjean36c87.78$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.7853736.9%198 W · 339 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Francesca Jones49c85$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.653,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b2c…2151backed Leolia Jeanjean12c84.27$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.1538911.6%45 W · 344 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ea…42e8backed Leolia Jeanjean53c76.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1990559.6%539 W · 366 L+1.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Leolia Jeanjean52c76.39$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.3773048.8%356 W · 374 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e0b…1435backed Francesca Jones45c76.15$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5339035.9%140 W · 250 L-61.1wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-43.1%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x4c8c…01c9backed Leolia Jeanjean19c75.22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.678446.4%39 W · 45 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0445…8850backed Leolia Jeanjean68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.532070%14 W · 6 L+0.1wins0.00per pick70cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9a4…dbc9backed Francesca Jones39c73.44$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.435040%20 W · 30 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Francesca Jones71c66.2$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.041,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Francesca Jones49c64.62$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.521,27445%573 W · 701 L-2.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x663e…9cf0backed Leolia Jeanjean31c64.38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3925237.3%94 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Francesca Jones78c64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.921,89459.3%1,124 W · 770 L+6.5wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5814…229abacked Leolia Jeanjean53c63.92$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.042540%10 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Leolia Jeanjean29c62.55$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.182,85947.1%1,348 W · 1,511 L+37.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd1e…4754backed Leolia Jeanjean35c57.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2644444.6%198 W · 246 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x036b…ead4backed Francesca Jones46c53.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.541060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+49.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1298…97b6backed Francesca Jones48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258446.4%39 W · 45 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.