Tennis · resolved market
Set 2 Winner: Rocha vs Martinez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16b0f7decf927d16dfae47da040cb956272be108cbc734792fd0a85bfe0fa213
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Martinezof Rocha, Martinez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,467
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,873
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,467 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5cb5…7ce9backed Rocha | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.96 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…2617backed Rocha | 4c | 1,046$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.66 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Martinez | 56c | 968.45$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.7 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Martinez | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x253f…4253backed Martinez | 57c | 296.02$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.9 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a2…a5ffbacked Martinez | 48c | 260.92$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.47 | 151 | 35.1%53 W · 98 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Martinez | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Rocha | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 603 | 42%253 W · 350 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Rocha | 46c | 192.68$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.79 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…36f4backed Martinez | 49c | 148.16$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Martinez | 52c | 79.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6705…8184backed Rocha | 46c | 66.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Martinez | 52c | 31.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Rocha | 47c | 30.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Rocha | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Martinez | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Martinez | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…14d1backed Rocha | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 249 | 36.5%91 W · 158 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Rocha | 49c | 20.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Martinez | 60c | 16.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 282 | 64.2%181 W · 101 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 2 Winner: Rocha vs Martinezthis page
- Estoril Open: Henrique Rocha vs Pedro MartinezPedro Martinez won
- Henrique Rocha vs. Pedro Martinez: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Rocha vs. Martinez: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Rocha vs. Martinez: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Rocha vs MartinezMartinez won
- Set Handicap: Rocha (-1.5) vs Martinez (+1.5)Martinez won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.