Other European Leagues · resolved market
CF Estrela da Amadora vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e26732dca3febd08211ad9fab9db0d8a8a3b04ea7ac5a20c0b8f15288f49730
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,789
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,759
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,789 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Under | 48c | 6,741$3,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,235.79 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Under | 48c | 4,524$2,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,171.66 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Over | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.99 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Over | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 41c | 2,027$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.44 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Under | 48c | 1,938$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.05 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Under | 48c | 1,862$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.72 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Over | 52c | 1,750$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 51c | 1,661$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.09 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Over | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Under | 47c | 1,295$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.56 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed Under | 48c | 1,009$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.4 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 61c | 1,009$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.69 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…1a45backed Over | 52c | 623.27$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.17 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.38per pick | 52cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 26c | 559.24$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.92 | 124 | 26.6%33 W · 91 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Over | 52c | 504.28$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.05 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Over | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Over | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 140 | 50%70 W · 70 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Over | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over | 52c | 450$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6705…8184backed Under | 18c | 359.5$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.14 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…5a53backed Over | 67c | 292.6$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 58c | 280.21$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.35 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 51c | 257.36$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.4 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Over | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf870…415dbacked Over | 79c | 243.26$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.09 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Under | 6c | 199.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 52c | 197.35$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.73 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10fd…633bbacked Over | 52c | 194.24$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.24 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 33c | 181.83$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed Under | 6c | 167.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Over | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Over | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 72c | 148.57$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.19 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 47c | 116.61$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 52c | 98.46$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.17 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 98.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 41c | 94.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -7.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Under | 17c | 91.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 51c | 76.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5af3…1534backed Over | 52c | 74.23$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.38 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Over | 52c | 69.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -6.0wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 47c | 63.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3d…3681backed Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 77cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 49c | 55.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 155 | 48.4%75 W · 80 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Over | 53c | 53.95$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 48c | 50.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 29c | 46.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 71c | 45.74$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 191 | 65.4%125 W · 66 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 52c | 41.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb792…fa38backed Over | 73c | 40.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e6…f081backed Under | 34c | 39.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…770ebacked Over | 53c | 38.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a30…b094backed Over | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 52c | 37.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 51c | 34.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 52c | 29.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 49c | 29.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 47c | 27.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…dc9bbacked Over | 60c | 27.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Over | 57c | 26.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 53c | 24.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 47c | 22.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b35…7e1dbacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Over | 52c | 19.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 63c | 19.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 66c | 18.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 67c | 17.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF Estrela da Amadora vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5this page
- CF Estrela da Amadora vs. FC Porto: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CF Estrela da Amadora vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Estrela da Amadora vs. FC Porto: O/U 3.5Under won
- CF Estrela da Amadora vs. FC Porto: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CF Estrela da Amadora (-1.5)FC Porto won
- Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)CF Estrela da Amadora won
- Spread: FC Porto (-2.5)CF Estrela da Amadora won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.