Other European Leagues · resolved market
CF Estrela da Amadora vs. FC Porto: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x360f06e4a368dd81af6f66e54a0cea7f8d481a19fa7bdcc7c754cc82452cfc14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,786
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,198
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,786 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 4,678$3,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,172.38 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 36c | 4,064$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580.81 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 42c | 1,652$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.32 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6114…69dbbacked Yes | 24c | 1,249$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.23 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +81%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 58c | 932$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.56 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 24c | 612.05$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.98 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 35c | 414.99$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.79 | 124 | 26.6%33 W · 91 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4c…39c0backed No | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Yes | 62c | 367.99$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.76 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +12.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 62c | 342.87$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.24 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…0104backed No | 63c | 332.91$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.26 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 60c | 289.55$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.73 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked No | 12c | 208$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed No | 60c | 162.55$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 36c | 156.25$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 66c | 77.14$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.91 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 70c | 69.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.12 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 40c | 54.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.42 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 58c | 50.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 42c | 43.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Yes | 41c | 40.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked No | 58c | 39.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 40c | 38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab2…b321backed Yes | 42c | 35.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1521…ae21backed No | 56c | 35.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Yes | 40c | 25.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 69c | 21.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…e48fbacked No | 57c | 20.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed No | 60c | 19.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF Estrela da Amadora vs. FC Porto: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CF Estrela da Amadora vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Estrela da Amadora vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5Over won
- CF Estrela da Amadora vs. FC Porto: O/U 3.5Under won
- CF Estrela da Amadora vs. FC Porto: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CF Estrela da Amadora (-1.5)FC Porto won
- Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)CF Estrela da Amadora won
- Spread: FC Porto (-2.5)CF Estrela da Amadora won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.