Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0824d42b690b2ebc81a0f1b034d6397b1a80c188e25ed187790610a20a9fa61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CF Estrela da Amadoraof FC Porto, CF Estrela da Amadora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,404
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,932
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,404 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3de4…b032backed CF Estrela da Amadora | 52c | 36,568$19,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,555.06 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +306.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked FC Porto | 48c | 4,844$2,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,325.12 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…1dfcbacked FC Porto | 48c | 4,259$2,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,044.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed CF Estrela da Amadora | 52c | 4,246$2,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,049.38 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ce…979fbacked FC Porto | 48c | 4,037$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed FC Porto | 48c | 3,875$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860.1 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked FC Porto | 48c | 3,694$1,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,772.9 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.28per pick | 51cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked FC Porto | 48c | 2,906$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.07 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FC Porto | 55c | 2,760$1,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,517.51 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed FC Porto | 48c | 2,018$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.8 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed FC Porto | 48c | 1,695$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.79 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed FC Porto | 48c | 1,453$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.54 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked CF Estrela da Amadora | 56c | 1,045$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.69 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked FC Porto | 48c | 986.05$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.26 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked CF Estrela da Amadora | 53c | 916.79$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.89 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed FC Porto | 47c | 673.03$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.35 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed FC Porto | 46c | 629.73$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.58 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed FC Porto | 75c | 580.47$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.47 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked CF Estrela da Amadora | 54c | 543.24$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.57 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed FC Porto | 48c | 504.58$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.2 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed FC Porto | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed FC Porto | 48c | 484.4$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.51 | 140 | 50%70 W · 70 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed FC Porto | 48c | 484.4$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.51 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked FC Porto | 48c | 435.96$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.26 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked FC Porto | 47c | 405.66$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.66 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed FC Porto | 48c | 403.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.76 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed FC Porto | 48c | 392.91$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.6 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked FC Porto | 48c | 392.91$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.6 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked FC Porto | 48c | 387.52$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.01 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed CF Estrela da Amadora | 36c | 360.05$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.83 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed CF Estrela da Amadora | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 124 | 26.6%33 W · 91 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed FC Porto | 48c | 290.64$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.51 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed FC Porto | 48c | 290.64$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.51 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed FC Porto | 48c | 275.76$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.21 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked FC Porto | 48c | 242.2$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.26 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked FC Porto | 48c | 242.2$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.26 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…126cbacked FC Porto | 48c | 238.32$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bac…f1a6backed FC Porto | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed FC Porto | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed FC Porto | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed FC Porto | 48c | 193.76$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x768b…bf0fbacked FC Porto | 48c | 193.76$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed FC Porto | 44c | 175.92$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked FC Porto | 48c | 169.54$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.38 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed FC Porto | 49c | 148.38$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.71 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…9732backed FC Porto | 51c | 142.74$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked FC Porto | 48c | 123.01$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.63 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked FC Porto | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed FC Porto | 66c | 97.96$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.65 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe2…6829backed FC Porto | 48c | 96.88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -7.5wins | -0.29per pick | 60cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed FC Porto | 48c | 90.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.38 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed FC Porto | 47c | 90$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -6.0wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed FC Porto | 44c | 75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed FC Porto | 48c | 72.66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed FC Porto | 67c | 69.78$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked FC Porto | 47c | 64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked FC Porto | 49c | 57.09$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed FC Porto | 48c | 48.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked FC Porto | 48c | 48.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed FC Porto | 48c | 43.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed FC Porto | 48c | 43.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a30…b094backed FC Porto | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…9d08backed FC Porto | 48c | 39.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed FC Porto | 47c | 39.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked FC Porto | 48c | 38.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b35…7e1dbacked FC Porto | 48c | 38.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked FC Porto | 48c | 36.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 88 | 67%59 W · 29 L | +10.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed FC Porto | 48c | 36.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51d8…7536backed FC Porto | 48c | 34.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed FC Porto | 48c | 33.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed FC Porto | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed FC Porto | 49c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed FC Porto | 44c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked FC Porto | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…c744backed FC Porto | 65c | 18.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)this page
- CF Estrela da Amadora vs. FC Porto: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CF Estrela da Amadora vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Estrela da Amadora vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5Over won
- CF Estrela da Amadora vs. FC Porto: O/U 3.5Under won
- CF Estrela da Amadora vs. FC Porto: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CF Estrela da Amadora (-1.5)FC Porto won
- Spread: FC Porto (-2.5)CF Estrela da Amadora won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.