Asian League · resolved market
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5d17744bec6e97552e77f29858bcd3fc07a7518699968b5abe67bdc1d00e6ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,520
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,762
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,520 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 41c | 1,800$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.54 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 59c | 1,780$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.8 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 59c | 1,021$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 46c | 532.41$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.5 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 44c | 455.95$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.67 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 55c | 444.38$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.72 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…a775backed Yes | 54c | 371.3$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 79c | 350.98$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.87 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Yes | 20c | 335$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 51c | 299.98$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.99 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 45c | 282.88$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.81 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Yes | 54c | 218.52$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…6b83backed Yes | 54c | 207.41$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed No | 17c | 133.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.03 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed No | 46c | 113.52$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.3 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 46c | 105$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Yes | 30c | 67.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed No | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.21per pick | 32cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked No | 46c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6705…8184backed No | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5db…f982backed Yes | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf945…6c15backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Hilal Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-2.5)NEOM SC won
- Spread: NEOM SC (-1.5)Al Hilal Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.