Asian League · resolved market
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x202010633ee6053860a11f75b288f38ca41df88239861d5b23c08c2de4d57144
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,147
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,708
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,147 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Under | 33c | 1,497$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.27 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 1,398$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.14 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Over | 67c | 1,184$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.28 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 35c | 1,177$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.1 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 68c | 1,143$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.74 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e3…761fbacked Over | 50c | 1,110$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 64c | 951.5$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.91 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 31c | 640.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.54 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 80c | 500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 30c | 499.05$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.05 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…01c6backed Under | 27c | 464.07$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.77 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b69…dfcabacked Over | 56c | 309.05$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 58c | 173.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.29 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 71c | 135.46$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over | 79c | 129.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.7 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 29c | 127.17$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.29 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 71c | 118.43$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.2 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 29c | 117.6$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.5 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 50c | 112.55$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.85 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 70c | 106.3$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.41 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb630…e38ebacked Under | 22c | 98.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 65c | 86.16$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.61 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 20c | 82.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Under | 31c | 80$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.21per pick | 32cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6255…a29bbacked Over | 51c | 75.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Under | 48c | 62.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.54 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 60c | 59.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 72c | 55.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 51c | 54.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…92b5backed Under | 53c | 54.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Under | 34c | 53.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3c…4b61backed Under | 31c | 53.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 61c | 50.81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 138 | 55.8%77 W · 61 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7521…c083backed Over | 72c | 36.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 44c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a97…90b1backed Over | 50c | 28.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2102…087dbacked Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf945…6c15backed Over | 70c | 25.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb5…d4d6backed Over | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x708e…d03fbacked Over | 56c | 18.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Hilal Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-2.5)NEOM SC won
- Spread: NEOM SC (-1.5)Al Hilal Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.