Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2acfdc8b222306b356442e346657a40d8281bd0b9e55c36152d13399b4c6278e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NEOM SCof Al Hilal Saudi Club, NEOM SC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,481
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,123
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,481 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 39c | 19,025$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed NEOM SC | 65c | 4,475$2,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,588 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed NEOM SC | 66c | 3,200$2,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed NEOM SC | 60c | 2,513$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.75 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed NEOM SC | 62c | 1,400$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed NEOM SC | 59c | 1,184$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.44 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed NEOM SC | 67c | 1,009$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.4 | 139 | 56.1%78 W · 61 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked NEOM SC | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Al Hilal Saudi Club | 37c | 855.15$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed NEOM SC | 68c | 800$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Al Hilal Saudi Club | 40c | 723.39$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.35 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Al Hilal Saudi Club | 34c | 645.7$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.54 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed NEOM SC | 62c | 618.78$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.14 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked NEOM SC | 62c | 542.45$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.13 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 34c | 534.76$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.82 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed NEOM SC | 62c | 520$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.6 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked NEOM SC | 63c | 520$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.4 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed NEOM SC | 70c | 386.97$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.89 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed NEOM SC | 62c | 320$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.6 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked NEOM SC | 62c | 312$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.56 | 182 | 56%102 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed NEOM SC | 66c | 301.83$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.54 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed NEOM SC | 62c | 280$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.4 | 161 | 54.7%88 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 37c | 256.31$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.67 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed NEOM SC | 63c | 213.96$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.79 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed NEOM SC | 64c | 200$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed NEOM SC | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked NEOM SC | 63c | 198$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.26 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed NEOM SC | 63c | 198$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.26 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed NEOM SC | 61c | 192$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.05 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked NEOM SC | 62c | 173$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.74 | 164 | 54.3%89 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked NEOM SC | 63c | 169.24$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.21 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed NEOM SC | 60c | 164$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.65 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed NEOM SC | 66c | 116.85$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.12 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb5…d4d6backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 34c | 111.29$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed NEOM SC | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…98a7backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…d242backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 38c | 86.84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed NEOM SC | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 36c | 74.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 34c | 65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed NEOM SC | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed NEOM SC | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed NEOM SC | 64c | 55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 39c | 54.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c91…af73backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…3914backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 42c | 45.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 42cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked NEOM SC | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 37c | 35.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec7…ed98backed NEOM SC | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…0b83backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7468…3d24backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Al Hilal Saudi Club | 40c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed NEOM SC | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 202 | 56.4%114 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14b2…e75fbacked NEOM SC | 57c | 21.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed NEOM SC | 64c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed NEOM SC | 65c | 20.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked NEOM SC | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abb…9d8fbacked NEOM SC | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-2.5)this page
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Hilal Saudi Club won
- Spread: NEOM SC (-1.5)Al Hilal Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.