Asian League · resolved market
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x532d4a67916b6d8475b5fc03e5002ecc0ec54a2c7fa6107ca38fc0334bb379a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,715
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,047
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,715 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 3,897$1,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,793.45 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Under | 48c | 2,835$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.54 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 50c | 2,309$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.74 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 51c | 1,850$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.01 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 1,704$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 32c | 1,500$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 108 | 23.1%25 W · 83 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Over | 50c | 713$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.35 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 699.44$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.96 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 50c | 664$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.55 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 46c | 614.84$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.25 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 69c | 567.05$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.96 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 50c | 522$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a4…6f49backed Over | 46c | 518.16$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Under | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea2f…dff2backed Under | 59c | 350$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Over | 47c | 306.83$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.21 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 34c | 299.55$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.17 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 50c | 280$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 161 | 54.7%88 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Under | 53c | 278$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.44 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +10.9wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 57c | 263.79$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.79 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 51c | 234.17$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.96 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 36c | 224.2$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.71 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 36c | 219.12$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.1 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc8…6875backed Under | 59c | 155.93$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 55c | 152.22$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 51c | 118$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.82 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 70c | 103.79$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.92 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Over | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…9904backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 181 | 38.7%70 W · 111 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7291…3d0fbacked Over | 48c | 77.92$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 48c | 73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed Over | 19c | 60.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 40c | 59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b1…d4d4backed Under | 44c | 56.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.79 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Over | 44c | 55.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…8ba9backed Under | 49c | 48.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 45c | 47.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…92b5backed Under | 62c | 40.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 33c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…1cc6backed Under | 55c | 32.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 71c | 25.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 51c | 25.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…dd56backed Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2673…5ac9backed Over | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1833…cc31backed Under | 73c | 20.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 51c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 58c | 20.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Hilal Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-2.5)NEOM SC won
- Spread: NEOM SC (-1.5)Al Hilal Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.