Space · resolved market
Will stranded astronauts leave the ISS in 2024?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac76f7385f35c0d6b8fdf9c3a07acbf82ce91c5319dea07bf5c966d3875d9298
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Spaceevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $686,218
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $782,547
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $686,218 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Space is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Space | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1ac0…041fbacked Yes | 5c | 28,724$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 4c | 24,897$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 4c | 23,470$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.84 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf311…fe1bbacked Yes | 3c | 15,444$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 6c | 12,810$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…4d01backed Yes | 0c | 11,999$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 1c | 10,620$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.48 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ef…f907backed Yes | 4c | 7,994$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…a2cdbacked Yes | 3c | 7,543$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad1…5d7cbacked Yes | 3c | 7,502$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…d4a6backed Yes | 0c | 7,501$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eca…63a9backed Yes | 1c | 7,000$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 8c | 5,496$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.44 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfd…b5f3backed Yes | 4c | 4,902$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 1c | 3,973$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.01 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Yes | 10c | 3,898$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e3…962fbacked Yes | 32c | 3,585$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2c…70cfbacked Yes | 6c | 3,493$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6a…76c6backed Yes | 3c | 3,000$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked No | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,383$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd68…238abacked Yes | 3c | 2,331$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e46…9800backed Yes | 4c | 2,222$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2a…6969backed Yes | 0c | 2,045$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…1daebacked Yes | 5c | 2,042$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…c109backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Yes | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +285.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Yes | 30c | 1,962$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…e44bbacked No | 66c | 1,765$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c94…5b86backed Yes | 1c | 1,702$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b2…49aabacked Yes | 12c | 1,695$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…d3c0backed No | 76c | 1,650$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13d2…7019backed No | 73c | 1,500$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2d…137ebacked Yes | 34c | 1,205$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14af…376dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,176$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1b…3b29backed Yes | 3c | 1,134$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081d…8c34backed No | 50c | 1,132$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8df…be52backed Yes | 28c | 1,075$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20eb…9694backed No | 70c | 1,028$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…5dedbacked Yes | 4c | 1,000$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f44…1cc2backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…e17ebacked Yes | 3c | 900$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Yes | 12c | 855.44$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bb…0ac5backed Yes | 44c | 805.45$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…61b4backed Yes | 3c | 760.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae96…3aeebacked Yes | 3c | 740.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfec9…e566backed Yes | 4c | 727.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked Yes | 32c | 699.98$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +115.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc52c…6d91backed Yes | 13c | 654.97$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b5…b451backed Yes | 26c | 565.33$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c4…75c3backed Yes | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x759c…5156backed Yes | 4c | 534.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Yes | 6c | 504.69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb956…c475backed Yes | 29c | 499.87$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73ed…4934backed Yes | 32c | 469.76$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7141…7900backed Yes | 34c | 441.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…1e98backed Yes | 27c | 413.68$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0193backed Yes | 3c | 410.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb550…2bacbacked Yes | 4c | 400$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5883…2cbebacked Yes | 4c | 400$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…6b75backed No | 72c | 365.29$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed No | 62c | 345.27$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeccc…aa43backed Yes | 9c | 319.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b0…4b2ebacked Yes | 5c | 319.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbb…6880backed Yes | 3c | 314.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…42b3backed Yes | 5c | 309.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe0…4c7bbacked No | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.15 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8e…52bfbacked No | 69c | 291.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a46…195bbacked Yes | 7c | 289.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 28c | 258.76$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.23 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9e…1256backed Yes | 4c | 256.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba7…dbd7backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5322…237abacked Yes | 36c | 250$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f1…c4bdbacked Yes | 46c | 249.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7108…7492backed No | 55c | 247$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf162…b6b5backed Yes | 42c | 238.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x271c…ebc6backed Yes | 6c | 236.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04e3…69d1backed Yes | 45c | 219.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3f…164dbacked Yes | 14c | 219.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…f086backed Yes | 33c | 207.16$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2f…4b5fbacked No | 73c | 202.18$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…3e47backed Yes | 25c | 202.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…26ecbacked Yes | 10c | 201.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…7222backed No | 47c | 200.09$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b73…4766backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x676e…8aa7backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…221dbacked Yes | 54c | 189.63$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38a…ea2abacked Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3e…2207backed No | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8b…0159backed Yes | 30c | 169.06$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7a…65a6backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6248…51cfbacked Yes | 42c | 161.24$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…4e73backed No | 67c | 154.78$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1405…d432backed Yes | 25c | 148.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf087…40f5backed Yes | 52c | 147.76$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d1…cd16backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Space and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.