Champions League · resolved market
Will Boca Juniors beat Benfica?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8e18dda2e8e311db8409cb4042d236c13d70e382c85bbbe277d9846e23c5433
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,510
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,259
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,510 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 25c | 8,216$2,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,183.96 | 187 | 58.8%110 W · 77 L | +18.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 26c | 7,300$1,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,393.99 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 16c | 5,045$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 17c | 4,291$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.71 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 14c | 4,116$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.28 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 13c | 4,092$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.19 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 16c | 3,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 46c | 2,316$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.27 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 38c | 1,628$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.84 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Yes | 66c | 1,154$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Yes | 55c | 1,011$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.98 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -68%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 15c | 892.99$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.35 | 240 | 47.1%113 W · 127 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…f1f8backed No | 32c | 845$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.72 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…d3c0backed No | 73c | 830$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.69 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -7.9wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…f137backed Yes | 73c | 786.03$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.59 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…c53ebacked Yes | 77c | 730$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 30c | 700$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed No | 59c | 633.18$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.52 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e67…91b0backed No | 27c | 599.99$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed No | 67c | 571.41$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.62 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 64c | 558$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.95 | 291 | 42.3%123 W · 168 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ac…957dbacked Yes | 69c | 500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x828f…fa80backed Yes | 20c | 495.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 44c | 432.72$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.56 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 80c | 413.55$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.78 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed No | 57c | 393.68$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.28 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…c263backed Yes | 73c | 317.81$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -54%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 69c | 301$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.79 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked No | 56c | 300$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.5 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed Yes | 70c | 300$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 71c | 282.95$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.95 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 42c | 267$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.94 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2515…a008backed Yes | 73c | 238.12$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.83 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd242…ba4ebacked Yes | 70c | 237.86$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.42 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 13c | 236.87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1479…487cbacked Yes | 16c | 209.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 48c | 208.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.9 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 52c | 200$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.62 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed No | 48c | 187.77$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.5 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06c6…4162backed No | 32c | 145.85$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.87 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 48c | 141.9$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.25 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…89dcbacked Yes | 27c | 138.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Yes | 80c | 138.03$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed No | 29c | 137$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.27 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa240…0c9fbacked Yes | 41c | 121.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked No | 79c | 119.05$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Yes | 20c | 102.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Yes | 22c | 101.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…2626backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 29.8%34 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9769…5041backed Yes | 47c | 90.77$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ab…790bbacked Yes | 23c | 88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…fedbbacked No | 43c | 75.64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed No | 20c | 74.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeec9…be9dbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…05b2backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x142c…1098backed Yes | 74c | 53.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5177…93c9backed Yes | 48c | 49.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked No | 35c | 39.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 155 | 38.1%59 W · 96 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11ca…c3c9backed No | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 74c | 24.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 135 | 34.8%47 W · 88 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Boca Juniors beat Benfica?this page
- Will Benfica beat Boca Juniors?No won
- Will Boca Juniors vs. Benfica end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.