World Politics · resolved market
X banned in Brazil by Friday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05d65478b253dfc20438a538fbe96e85c87042df3cbda5c33f9c1a3d67472d6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $255,993
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $273,381
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $255,993 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 1c | 34,606$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c3…a510backed No | 3c | 20,861$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e11…a7aabacked No | 6c | 14,231$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…abd2backed No | 71c | 12,355$8,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,710.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 9c | 10,261$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.4 | 232 | 25%58 W · 174 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 18c | 7,242$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,950.8 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +52%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed Yes | 18c | 7,042$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,751.13 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb27d…fc9cbacked Yes | 30c | 5,507$1,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,855.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +265.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x542a…0312backed No | 0c | 5,306$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39ab…06f0backed No | 0c | 5,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x819a…891abacked No | 13c | 4,526$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x780f…9e02backed No | 1c | 3,672$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed No | 18c | 3,106$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…c428backed No | 6c | 2,866$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.62 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 5c | 2,481$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,366.29 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x01f7…02dfbacked Yes | 10c | 2,047$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,842.23 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked No | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…0601backed No | 7c | 1,837$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed No | 13c | 1,748$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.66 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +291.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53c0…f74dbacked Yes | 33c | 1,413$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.77 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed No | 11c | 1,243$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.44 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…454bbacked Yes | 17c | 1,093$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x685e…bb41backed Yes | 21c | 1,093$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.16 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +172.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 24cpaid | +70%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…d3c0backed No | 77c | 806.41$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.74 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +38%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…30f1backed Yes | 29c | 801.91$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.14 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 65c | 772.84$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.84 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35f1…6600backed No | 16c | 722$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3d…3533backed Yes | 80c | 711.34$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2803…0dd7backed Yes | 11c | 670$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca15…5de4backed No | 78c | 641.68$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23ce…17dabacked Yes | 26c | 637.7$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +286.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f07…b296backed Yes | 7c | 549.54$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,328.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…4699backed No | 79c | 542.14$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeee8…7e06backed No | 6c | 540$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a20…101cbacked No | 14c | 498$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48d3…30babacked Yes | 34c | 449.45$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.35 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb011…2d13backed Yes | 43c | 442.25$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd13…e6f1backed No | 16c | 436$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +130.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb317…d8e1backed Yes | 10c | 421.1$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +406.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…ef97backed No | 51c | 399.99$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 31c | 301.29$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.36 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb805…9e99backed Yes | 17c | 299.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…dd72backed Yes | 20c | 280.6$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.6 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x138b…2ed4backed No | 35c | 272.5$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 46cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1820…e3f7backed No | 74c | 267$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.25 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed No | 10c | 224.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1cc…e644backed Yes | 79c | 219.28$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…4e73backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +256.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed No | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…9b6abacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…a62cbacked No | 80c | 166$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x348b…2432backed Yes | 13c | 157.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +383.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 19c | 156.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.83 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5c…3912backed Yes | 12c | 151.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.89 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 23c | 150$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.6 | 380 | 23.9%91 W · 289 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e7…f880backed No | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bf…578bbacked No | 79c | 137.33$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 74cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 21c | 121.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.9 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd937…b645backed Yes | 17c | 120.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +500.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf03…7117backed Yes | 29c | 119.07$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +249.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3399…e5fbbacked Yes | 24c | 115$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.21 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3f…0a3fbacked Yes | 76c | 112.5$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86d3…5679backed Yes | 23c | 110.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3879…0df4backed Yes | 25c | 100.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.67 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11f3…d859backed Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe264…8a47backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 21cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ae74backed No | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc385…5039backed Yes | 16c | 99.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x407f…cab8backed No | 73c | 96.21$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62f8…7737backed Yes | 24c | 95$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +126.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26b3…7ab5backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…b591backed No | 77c | 77.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6478…548fbacked Yes | 30c | 75.74$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x515b…7d95backed Yes | 29c | 70$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +188.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x684e…03fcbacked Yes | 25c | 66.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +297.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b76…9f54backed No | 77c | 65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06fa…3282backed Yes | 80c | 62.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a71…03dbbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4e…2aeebacked No | 80c | 60$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x534f…616abacked Yes | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0a…63abbacked Yes | 20c | 55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed No | 80c | 55$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Yes | 24c | 51.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42aa…3cf1backed No | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3397…fe08backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5932…be33backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2216…4accbacked Yes | 80c | 42.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…7f4fbacked No | 71c | 41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78bd…357dbacked Yes | 34c | 40.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +183%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2d…358fbacked Yes | 29c | 38.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…3113backed No | 77c | 32.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x676e…8aa7backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d4…8c0dbacked Yes | 67c | 26.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…1e98backed No | 55c | 23.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee5…198bbacked No | 71c | 21.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -11.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.