AI · resolved market
GPT-5 released in 2024?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3fce809e37646d54bf5e13b8919cf26a939f71c0c84d09fee395f4d69cc0f388
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $753,918
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $733,271
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $753,918 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 384 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe999…6f77backed Yes | 14c | 144,898$19,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,820.41 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 11c | 51,370$5,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,704.17 | 72 | 22.2%16 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 9c | 28,612$2,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,542.57 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed No | 63c | 12,696$7,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,712.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed No | 68c | 10,073$6,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,255.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0215…c398backed Yes | 6c | 10,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…7bd8backed Yes | 2c | 9,619$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.17 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bda…121bbacked No | 70c | 8,878$6,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,663.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc30a…353bbacked Yes | 43c | 8,148$3,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,481.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked No | 74c | 7,683$5,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020.11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69a4…bba9backed Yes | 3c | 7,238$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.78 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacd9…3d87backed Yes | 0c | 7,211$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 21c | 5,921$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.85 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33d3…bf1fbacked Yes | 7c | 5,410$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c4…bfdebacked Yes | 4c | 5,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 5c | 4,338$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.26 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 4c | 4,081$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.89 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6726…eabdbacked No | 68c | 3,981$2,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8528…d446backed Yes | 6c | 3,579$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578c…9661backed No | 73c | 3,425$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x706e…2a41backed Yes | 6c | 3,118$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x533f…2ef1backed No | 65c | 3,020$1,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbf…74fdbacked No | 76c | 2,290$1,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2541…4f1ebacked No | 80c | 2,233$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d2…d6d2backed No | 65c | 2,102$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.41 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf162…b6b5backed Yes | 32c | 1,940$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.6 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x169b…30c9backed No | 60c | 1,902$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2902…33cdbacked Yes | 27c | 1,878$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17a…1db3backed Yes | 1c | 1,868$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -85.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd958…77a1backed Yes | 6c | 1,801$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…221dbacked Yes | 39c | 1,732$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…a363backed Yes | 5c | 1,681$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce40…da67backed Yes | 4c | 1,668$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1c…2a17backed No | 57c | 1,638$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…8839backed Yes | 7c | 1,555$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3caa…4a19backed No | 75c | 1,548$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe51…3982backed Yes | 25c | 1,530$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf076…30babacked Yes | 4c | 1,440$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 4c | 1,432$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecdf…6c07backed No | 71c | 1,415$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…dab4backed Yes | 4c | 1,415$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5c…75f0backed Yes | 61c | 1,386$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a8…5ec0backed Yes | 5c | 1,211$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf20c…42f0backed Yes | 8c | 1,207$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x805d…c541backed Yes | 4c | 1,206$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc19…0b8abacked Yes | 10c | 1,149$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4294…ee29backed No | 78c | 1,145$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc93b…09d5backed No | 76c | 1,141$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0002…5e91backed Yes | 37c | 1,114$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe415…db17backed Yes | 5c | 1,111$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbdc…0ababacked Yes | 37c | 1,101$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf555…b2d5backed Yes | 4c | 1,100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -92.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e8…d686backed Yes | 2c | 1,080$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…1e98backed No | 60c | 1,066$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…f823backed Yes | 36c | 1,048$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.95 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 29cpaid | -87.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88f4…f92cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,019$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b3…7469backed Yes | 62c | 1,002$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f57…9fb9backed No | 78c | 1,000$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a58…62abbacked Yes | 4c | 1,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…e414backed No | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed Yes | 2c | 976$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7108…7492backed No | 75c | 907.16$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfc…acb7backed Yes | 44c | 905.63$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 73c | 897.37$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.2 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 26c | 876.99$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.33 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e4…1009backed No | 75c | 874.05$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee6e…807cbacked No | 73c | 803.4$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 5c | 795.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 185 | 44.3%82 W · 103 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75bb…0ac5backed Yes | 33c | 779$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4a…ac42backed Yes | 3c | 776.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1492…97dabacked No | 76c | 767.23$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d2…4f20backed No | 60c | 684.11$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b7…f7d7backed Yes | 38c | 631.58$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e5…3a68backed Yes | 21c | 630.18$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200a…d498backed No | 78c | 625$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f3…76dcbacked Yes | 6c | 623.66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f9…9d8ebacked Yes | 34c | 600.3$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…7222backed Yes | 34c | 600$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8b…0159backed No | 60c | 587.67$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x413c…1823backed Yes | 38c | 524.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…bbfbbacked Yes | 4c | 500.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Yes | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -7.2wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…eb4fbacked No | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6367…e938backed Yes | 6c | 500$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x495c…512bbacked Yes | 6c | 499.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e72…3e8dbacked Yes | 33c | 499.98$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 79c | 499.96$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.99 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5a…87a9backed Yes | 15c | 499.61$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8f…a260backed Yes | 35c | 490$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 19c | 482.2$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.46 | 257 | 31.5%81 W · 176 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41f8…70b2backed Yes | 25c | 481.21$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1b…3b29backed Yes | 5c | 462.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38d6…f4e9backed No | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed No | 63c | 433.84$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea7a…b9dfbacked Yes | 27c | 432.87$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…770dbacked Yes | 36c | 420.25$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6880…8abebacked No | 71c | 417.8$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf566…1386backed No | 71c | 408.3$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.08 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ff…fc59backed Yes | 4c | 406.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe3…18bdbacked Yes | 4c | 403.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.