South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2025-10-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e91fd21a0c5e73db16d54f564b4082526cac006e5edd2658d93fb4eedc9a261
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,261
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe4c3…3e00backed Yes | 65c | 3,009$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 1,100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 88 | 8%7 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 35c | 1,072$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.05 | 506 | 61.3%310 W · 196 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked No | 43c | 1,007$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.37 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Yes | 58c | 865.91$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.94 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…d3c0backed No | 44c | 407.7$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed No | 36c | 400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 144 | 22.9%33 W · 111 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 37c | 149.71$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.65 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb1…4df1backed Yes | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +43%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27e3…a851backed Yes | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 58c | 53.3$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 162 | 34.6%56 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f43…7760backed Yes | 62c | 23.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 60c | 22.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…9c58backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48c8…43dcbacked Yes | 62c | 19.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9963…14acbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2025-10-19?this page
- Will Estudiantes de La Plata vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata end in a draw?No won
- Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2025-10-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.