Fifa International · resolved market
Will Argentina beat Colombia?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c5fa178fc904b56bf7cc99a4a5ffd5b0e0880dba99a982b86c369a98984c407
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $134,200
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $136,064
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,200 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x76f1…6e32backed Yes | 61c | 80,000$48,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,800 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 39c | 63,619$24,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,807.48 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c3…fb45backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 73c | 9,741$7,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,666.18 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 39c | 8,707$3,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,319.5 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Yes | 27c | 8,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +119.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 39c | 7,329$2,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,488.8 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…c481backed Yes | 61c | 5,072$3,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,117.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 49c | 4,015$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,038.83 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 40c | 1,896$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.56 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 59c | 1,882$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.29 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,854$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 40c | 1,800$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.99 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 51c | 1,417$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.34 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed No | 42c | 1,068$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.68 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b8…9cafbacked Yes | 59c | 1,010$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9f…59f3backed Yes | 60c | 766.67$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c1…b742backed Yes | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8773…302fbacked Yes | 60c | 415$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Yes | 49c | 407.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 40c | 399.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.99 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 59c | 349.98$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.49 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Yes | 60c | 333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…1efabacked Yes | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +110.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 67c | 290.07$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.35 | 363 | 49.3%179 W · 184 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27be…e3a9backed Yes | 38c | 286.84$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed No | 39c | 273$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.53 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…d3c0backed No | 71c | 250$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 59c | 184.48$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.85 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f9…749abacked Yes | 60c | 173.33$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15f7…249fbacked Yes | 34c | 172.26$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd470…783ebacked No | 41c | 165.85$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.85 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0114…92e7backed Yes | 59c | 162.02$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…f0d9backed Yes | 60c | 159.65$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked No | 39c | 137$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.92 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed No | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa50f…f999backed Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x575e…5b86backed Yes | 61c | 75.41$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 37c | 72.2$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.49 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11ca…c3c9backed Yes | 59c | 56.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed No | 40c | 56.12$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…b417backed No | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3185…937abacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 60c | 49.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d7…94e9backed Yes | 67c | 44.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ab…790bbacked No | 39c | 43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x772f…2922backed Yes | 48c | 41.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Yes | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac2…1966backed Yes | 52c | 38.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33e2…aec0backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf07…0522backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6554…bbd6backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdea8…57d7backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ff…1eb6backed Yes | 60c | 23.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…42e5backed Yes | 59c | 17.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Argentina beat Colombia?this page
- Will Argentina vs. Colombia end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Colombia beat Argentina?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.