Middle East · resolved market
Iran military response by Friday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa01f8c4d49984b0274eaf328df98fc50899870c1f977875bc7075ffd6b3292bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $133,874
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $146,220
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,874 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3cf3…87b3backed Yes | 6c | 7,788$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.39 | 98 | 15.3%15 W · 83 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d23…8f86backed Yes | 12c | 6,435$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.46 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 3c | 4,799$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.99 | 96 | 4.2%4 W · 92 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4a…ac42backed Yes | 22c | 3,244$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.67 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Yes | 3c | 3,168$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.66 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e91…b801backed Yes | 15c | 3,103$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.35 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked Yes | 6c | 2,936$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.11 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x566d…d47dbacked Yes | 7c | 2,858$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca6…6b28backed No | 79c | 2,226$1,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.69 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x542a…a81bbacked Yes | 5c | 2,173$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.23 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2855…afffbacked Yes | 10c | 2,070$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.59 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…5333backed Yes | 12c | 2,043$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.6 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6482…5fedbacked Yes | 21c | 1,971$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.19 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25d6…0b9cbacked Yes | 12c | 1,831$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42dd…48b7backed Yes | 9c | 1,800$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.98 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 10c | 1,700$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.87 | 264 | 23.9%63 W · 201 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 75c | 1,563$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.12 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1173…f95fbacked Yes | 13c | 1,466$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.76 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 11c | 1,390$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.8 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 8c | 1,305$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 284 | 27.8%79 W · 205 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes | 14c | 1,298$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…bf70backed Yes | 9c | 1,282$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.57 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa756…cb2dbacked Yes | 8c | 1,100$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…81c4backed Yes | 12c | 1,026$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.84 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed Yes | 12c | 1,002$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ee…181dbacked Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…d4a6backed Yes | 5c | 966.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd511…033ebacked Yes | 8c | 912.98$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8272…14bbbacked Yes | 4c | 841.9$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.77 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c98…11e4backed Yes | 6c | 841.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…2da7backed Yes | 8c | 812.98$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf3…76eabacked Yes | 8c | 787.56$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x147d…e43abacked Yes | 6c | 783.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253f…edf9backed No | 74c | 753.79$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.1 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 11c | 730$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.8 | 208 | 23.1%48 W · 160 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…4951backed Yes | 9c | 700$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa74…6bcbbacked Yes | 6c | 683.66$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.21 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74b1…ec47backed Yes | 20c | 619.47$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdaa…6f38backed Yes | 15c | 613.33$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ef…3116backed Yes | 14c | 575.36$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b93…3c34backed Yes | 2c | 573.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df2…01afbacked Yes | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 46 | 10.9%5 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -45%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc30a…353bbacked Yes | 24c | 499.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes | 9c | 488.75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed Yes | 11c | 453.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x670b…e4afbacked Yes | 9c | 450.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…d3c0backed No | 75c | 420$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.2 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x541c…02ebbacked Yes | 11c | 403.21$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe31d…36d5backed Yes | 25c | 400.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0887…b235backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b1…004bbacked Yes | 8c | 389.38$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca9d…07f7backed Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…7a17backed Yes | 16c | 364$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5dc…0d98backed Yes | 17c | 351.06$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 11c | 331.44$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.95 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d01…dfb9backed Yes | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb7…f16dbacked No | 74c | 299.09$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.76 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc876…cedfbacked Yes | 10c | 287.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c3…ab95backed Yes | 5c | 275.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…6c48backed No | 75c | 267.09$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814a…25adbacked Yes | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9e…2557backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 75c | 225$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0496…d6d7backed Yes | 26c | 203.06$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.02 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3634…310dbacked Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked Yes | 23c | 188.9$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.85 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +73%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe12b…c896backed Yes | 13c | 180$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1179…b4a0backed Yes | 14c | 179.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…bbe6backed Yes | 6c | 175.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…5535backed Yes | 9c | 169.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fa…77b5backed No | 74c | 155$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…9c22backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaab…24ddbacked No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e3…69d1backed No | 75c | 133$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab2…b47bbacked Yes | 19c | 127.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05fe…764fbacked No | 75c | 112.43$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfafc…31d9backed Yes | 10c | 104.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32d0…2418backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…e749backed Yes | 25c | 77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3178…277dbacked Yes | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f2…2c41backed No | 75c | 64.56$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a8…c77bbacked No | 76c | 51.26$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x676e…8aa7backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…30f1backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x124a…1332backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf85b…5663backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…4bc2backed No | 75c | 46.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda1…d9adbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d96…147fbacked No | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 70c | 20.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…954bbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…8ee7backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2f…4b5fbacked No | 75c | 16.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.