Serie A · resolved market
Will Bologna beat Juventus?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ffc39beeb5d74655f585517d371b9282db4fa9079607559ff446ce9b6d4b332
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,922
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,571
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,922 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 42c | 4,921$2,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,048.94 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 58c | 4,568$2,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,918.44 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 56c | 3,526$1,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,551.26 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 56c | 1,986$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.14 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd69a…81eabacked Yes | 43c | 1,218$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Yes | 46c | 589.05$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.24 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 55c | 517.6$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.24 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed No | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…3095backed Yes | 39c | 265$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcde9…8189backed Yes | 39c | 260$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked No | 63c | 250$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb538…f1d1backed Yes | 39c | 250$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b8…6a67backed Yes | 39c | 215$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaecc…1f6ebacked No | 61c | 165$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef90…da0ebacked No | 56c | 165$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c24…baa5backed No | 61c | 165$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5765…7a40backed No | 56c | 165$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6490…2dfebacked No | 61c | 165$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55a2…28edbacked No | 61c | 165$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…f9d7backed No | 56c | 155$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a68…57bfbacked No | 61c | 155$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…029ebacked No | 61c | 155$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…15ddbacked Yes | 47c | 129.45$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…d3c0backed No | 63c | 119.02$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.04 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Yes | 45c | 117$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 55c | 110$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.52 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f80…4da7backed No | 60c | 103.7$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked Yes | 42c | 98.01$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a73…8b3bbacked No | 60c | 65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 255 | 56.5%144 W · 111 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…0facbacked No | 59c | 56.61$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Yes | 41c | 48.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba2…527dbacked No | 58c | 27.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…ecbfbacked No | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bologna beat Juventus? this page
- Will Bologna vs. Juventus end in a draw? Yes won
- Will Juventus beat Bologna? No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.