Ukraine · resolved market
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53ebb991b4811704723ecf16c29acd4be97368b2e707685e961421dc27b5826c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $478,990
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $559,016
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $478,990 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d23…8f86backed Yes | 46c | 48,452$22,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,488.58 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 42cpaid | -84%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb8…515dbacked Yes | 25c | 20,000$5,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,071.92 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 67c | 16,661$11,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,420.56 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…3ddabacked No | 74c | 15,125$11,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,871.47 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 49c | 14,987$7,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,587.94 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…44a5backed No | 75c | 14,953$11,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,733.22 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9e…518ebacked No | 71c | 12,855$9,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,739.46 | 99 | 62.6%62 W · 37 L | +12.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked No | 44c | 11,856$5,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,630.08 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Yes | 11c | 9,093$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.19 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f1…c4bdbacked No | 78c | 8,986$7,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,982.19 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c8a…b45abacked No | 57c | 8,829$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,828.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4c…cb39backed No | 45c | 6,500$2,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,575 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…6313backed No | 53c | 5,649$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +57%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 30c | 5,170$1,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.34 | 94 | 13.8%13 W · 81 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f3…1043backed Yes | 2c | 5,153$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x919f…05c5backed Yes | 10c | 5,085$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x540b…e4e7backed Yes | 27c | 5,078$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.18 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6e…be2cbacked No | 71c | 4,825$3,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f8…70b2backed Yes | 1c | 4,771$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd352…4ad6backed Yes | 32c | 4,696$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.21 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaa…7d99backed Yes | 8c | 4,509$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.52 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 20c | 4,427$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.7 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9dc…a6d8backed Yes | 57c | 4,370$2,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,507.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf61…dc4cbacked Yes | 2c | 4,275$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…da79backed Yes | 51c | 3,984$2,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,033.26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece1…2b04backed Yes | 3c | 3,845$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -57%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 39c | 3,782$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.72 | 99 | 32.3%32 W · 67 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed Yes | 35c | 3,682$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.47 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked No | 48c | 3,560$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840.22 | 78 | 21.8%17 W · 61 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 2c | 3,476$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.33 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…ff06backed Yes | 16c | 3,214$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.93 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +85%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ff…fa28backed Yes | 8c | 3,191$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed No | 67c | 3,162$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.65 | 36 | 83.3%30 W · 6 L | +7.8wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Yes | 29c | 3,157$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.28 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc79…0af6backed No | 69c | 2,906$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cc…dea4backed Yes | 48c | 2,803$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.48 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eca…4780backed Yes | 48c | 2,705$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked No | 44c | 2,215$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.86 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…6cecbacked Yes | 15c | 2,036$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.07 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb357…ff05backed No | 50c | 2,010$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.29 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a70…52ccbacked No | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed Yes | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9b…b444backed No | 75c | 1,918$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.21 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +6.8wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 35c | 1,785$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.21 | 108 | 12%13 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7d…66a3backed Yes | 32c | 1,731$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed No | 53c | 1,695$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.35 | 106 | 25.5%27 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed No | 61c | 1,686$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb8…37b6backed No | 51c | 1,591$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.11 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 58cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x506f…e8bbbacked Yes | 8c | 1,579$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…aa81backed Yes | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37d2…f302backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf7…712cbacked No | 55c | 1,263$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.37 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 70c | 1,215$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.6 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…b117backed Yes | 1c | 1,183$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7390…9160backed Yes | 3c | 1,169$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…1e98backed Yes | 63c | 1,157$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…eed3backed Yes | 48c | 1,137$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.67 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf555…b2d5backed Yes | 8c | 1,100$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…498dbacked No | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…1964backed Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9059…a4fabacked Yes | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c0…6b87backed Yes | 31c | 998.99$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.69 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa102…36d9backed No | 73c | 945$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6264…9937backed Yes | 12c | 905.77$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbaec…665bbacked Yes | 34c | 900$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda92…264dbacked No | 46c | 884.75$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 48cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…f07cbacked Yes | 24c | 868.06$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…4032backed No | 59c | 865.08$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.12 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…e851backed No | 69c | 819.77$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 44c | 799.98$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x004d…665bbacked No | 78c | 778.69$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.81 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0271…57e5backed Yes | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8178…32d8backed Yes | 51c | 733.39$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.93 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc7…69ebbacked Yes | 15c | 729.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x039e…c5e0backed Yes | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8def…f1f8backed Yes | 1c | 705.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92c1…adc5backed Yes | 10c | 700.6$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…27fbbacked Yes | 1c | 693.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed No | 55c | 687.55$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.95 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…902bbacked Yes | 2c | 681.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fd83backed Yes | 45c | 667.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1091…49c6backed Yes | 11c | 657.45$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf54…676abacked Yes | 12c | 657.16$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7556…2be1backed Yes | 54c | 642.5$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa14b…b944backed Yes | 40c | 584.02$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.37 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 45cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ed…ddadbacked No | 69c | 581.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8272…14bbbacked Yes | 35c | 558.52$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.15 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd13…e6f1backed Yes | 12c | 553.84$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.46 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…a2cdbacked Yes | 2c | 538.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x956c…fdb8backed No | 52c | 523.68$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.37 | 13 | 100%13 W · 0 L | +5.1wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2d78…2404backed Yes | 18c | 513.31$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +300%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68fd…9d55backed No | 59c | 512.12$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7c…e622backed Yes | 51c | 499.99$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…5d0abacked Yes | 22c | 490.78$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b78…e679backed No | 77c | 485.12$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.13 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +5.8wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe384…bc6bbacked Yes | 11c | 440.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 59c | 402.07$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.65 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…ced9backed Yes | 11c | 400$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffc…388bbacked Yes | 24c | 392.17$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e1…072cbacked No | 78c | 384.83$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.83 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.