Senegal vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8764e1ba0ea8cf4ccf83b534b8821a1a11731da3e469dde124a748fd52510d8d

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 18, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $85,755
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $85,676

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,755 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd568…a35abacked Under	47c	21,492$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,491.87	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	51c	20,796$10,698 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,097.65	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Over	55c	16,500$9,090 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,089.84	61	32.8%20 W · 41 L	-6.0wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xadf2…8f6bbacked Over	0c	14,000$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.2	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	53c	10,019$5,304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,303.66	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d80…5cfcbacked Over	0c	6,380$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.28	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over	53c	5,899$3,127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,126.6	287	54.7%157 W · 130 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x258a…1348backed Over	0c	2,320$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.26	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under	44c	1,145$504 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$641.4	224	21%47 W · 177 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over	55c	1,100$605 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$604.99	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-2.1wins	-0.21per pick	51cpaid	-40%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over	33c	1,023$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342.17	227	31.7%72 W · 155 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Over	54c	1,000$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540	214	44.4%95 W · 119 L	+8.5wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee8f…9f44backed Over	55c	945.91$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$519.87	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-4.1wins	-0.21per pick	56cpaid	-43.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2af2…ec6fbacked Over	15c	800$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under	45c	747$336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$410.85	105	58.1%61 W · 44 L	+7.0wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc450…f2f7backed Over	57c	693.79$395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$395.46	28	64.3%18 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	68cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…db98backed Over	24c	629$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.96	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	35cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over	56c	607.14$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Over	55c	573.84$317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$316.51	335	55.5%186 W · 149 L	+19.0wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Over	27c	555.56$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	31	32.3%10 W · 21 L	-4.0wins	-0.13per pick	45cpaid	-16%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3766…a0e4backed Over	56c	548.4$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306.96	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.56per pick	56cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over	56c	500$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	894	43.4%388 W · 506 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Under	44c	499.99$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280	51	54.9%28 W · 23 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over	25c	496.16$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-22%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43de…d169backed Over	55c	455.45$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over	56c	453.57$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254	38	60.5%23 W · 15 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	44c	453.5$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$252.81	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Over	28c	442.99$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.04	27	70.4%19 W · 8 L	+3.1wins	+0.12per pick	59cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under	45c	428.41$193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235.05	170	48.2%82 W · 88 L	+8.8wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x63aa…c5c8backed Over	56c	400$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x731d…32c9backed Over	56c	354.1$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Over	41c	345.19$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	31cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over	31c	317.54$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	113	31%35 W · 78 L	-6.2wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Over	24c	296.22$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	177	36.7%65 W · 112 L	-6.3wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under	46c	251.75$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135	673	54.7%368 W · 305 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over	53c	219.49$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.33	293	43%126 W · 167 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83bf…c05cbacked Over	55c	216.58$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.12	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x482b…6455backed Under	46c	215.3$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.93	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+3.1wins	+0.18per pick	41cpaid	+40.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbe95…1c9fbacked Over	24c	200$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over	26c	196.15$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	72	30.6%22 W · 50 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over	54c	185.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	47	34%16 W · 31 L	-6.3wins	-0.13per pick	47cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc71d…3f27backed Over	56c	178.57$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+1.7wins	+0.11per pick	42cpaid	+53.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Over	56c	175$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	135	44.4%60 W · 75 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Over	28c	167.86$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	59	42.4%25 W · 34 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over	30c	166.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	107	40.2%43 W · 64 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under	65c	162.63$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.95	168	41.1%69 W · 99 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8104…3128backed Over	56c	119.98$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.19	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+2.2wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under	63c	117$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.26	98	45.9%45 W · 53 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	43c	107.53$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.66	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2683…2be7backed Over	47c	106.38$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.3wins	+0.12per pick	52cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over	28c	103.57$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86f0…be32backed Under	46c	100$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	68cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9de5…e8f5backed Over	51c	91.39$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.61	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.12per pick	66cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fb0…3e75backed Under	67c	85.9$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.55	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Over	56c	84.64$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.4	470	49.4%232 W · 238 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b0e…2b59backed Under	43c	80$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.2	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.16per pick	50cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x983a…c945backed Over	38c	79.67$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	32	25%8 W · 24 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	+59.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over	39c	70.97$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.6	42	40.5%17 W · 25 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9cc2…8ed8backed Under	62c	70.53$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.82	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf875…814dbacked Over	63c	63.49$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	89	44.9%40 W · 49 L	-8.5wins	-0.10per pick	55cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under	76c	60$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.48	115	52.2%60 W · 55 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-12%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd8d…6cdcbacked Over	54c	51.45$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1417…20b0backed Over	26c	48.08$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c16…630fbacked Over	51c	46.99$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.96	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c21…6ce6backed Under	46c	43.48$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.48	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+1.9wins	+0.21per pick	57cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under	44c	43.28$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.13	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa73c…4044backed Under	74c	40.16$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.44	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	63cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Over	54c	40$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.6	98	50%49 W · 49 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70b0…b71fbacked Over	34c	40$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.4	62	22.6%14 W · 48 L	-7.2wins	-0.12per pick	34cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under	45c	40$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22	218	46.8%102 W · 116 L	+19.9wins	+0.09per pick	38cpaid	+61.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb5c3…2d9ebacked Under	42c	40$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.2	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa536…83e7backed Over	56c	35.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+1.3wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd31a…e653backed Under	45c	33.33$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.33	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a72…fc7abacked Under	45c	33.33$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.33	43	65.1%28 W · 15 L	+2.1wins	+0.05per pick	60cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a58…149dbacked Over	56c	32.96$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.46	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16ae…c99dbacked Over	57c	32$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.24	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over	54c	27.93$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	114	36%41 W · 73 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c98…3d65backed Over	40c	25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x377c…4a10backed Over	56c	24.5$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.83	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.22per pick	55cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d5f…91fdbacked Under	45c	24$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.2	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ad8…9bc1backed Under	45c	24$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.16	12	91.7%11 W · 1 L	+3.6wins	+0.30per pick	62cpaid	+54.7%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3552…0d65backed Over	46c	23.91$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.6wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9f5…4aa8backed Over	56c	22.48$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.59	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.56per pick	56cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed Under	71c	21.58$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.23	48	45.8%22 W · 26 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Over	49c	21.18$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.32	30	50%15 W · 15 L	-2.6wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xad9d…9b95backed Over	54c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	22	50%11 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf05e…180bbacked Under	66c	19$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.37	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.13per pick	59cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbab6…f845backed Under	79c	15.49$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.26	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.31per pick	69cpaid	+51.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4d0…91acbacked Under	76c	14.39$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.45	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+1.5wins	+0.17per pick	61cpaid	+38.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Senegal vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5this page
Senegal vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Senegal vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Under won
Senegal vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5Under won
Senegal vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Senegal vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event