Fifa International · resolved market
Senegal vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa280967f7ff88c38fd74f7c3969b6aa78af6674a30623df2619168480cad8daf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,249
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,978
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,249 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 74c | 5,127$3,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.26 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Over | 28c | 1,933$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.13 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 26c | 1,249$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.3 | 227 | 31.7%72 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Over | 29c | 1,133$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.54 | 335 | 55.5%186 W · 149 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed Under | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed Under | 72c | 999.45$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 17c | 713.67$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.44 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…6660backed Over | 4c | 556.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 71c | 533.15$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.2 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d1…84a2backed Over | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Over | 27c | 365.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Over | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 291 | 38.5%112 W · 179 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85a…6f28backed Under | 69c | 327.93$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.17 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c6…fde6backed Over | 29c | 285$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.65 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85a1…a640backed Under | 72c | 217.39$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.87 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…92acbacked Over | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Under | 72c | 139.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.98 | 224 | 66.1%148 W · 76 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Under | 70c | 128.57$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…3149backed Over | 11c | 114.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed Over | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 29c | 103.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Over | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c3…2d9ebacked Under | 69c | 86.34$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189d…147cbacked Under | 72c | 83.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 25c | 79.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd8…8593backed Under | 75c | 75.08$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 72c | 73.6$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 18c | 72.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa536…83e7backed Over | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 25c | 68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -47%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…e4e1backed Over | 30c | 64.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 31c | 60.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c21…6ce6backed Under | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 28c | 40.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1c…dc02backed Over | 29c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 72c | 35.79$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Under | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16e9…aeefbacked Under | 72c | 33.27$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 108 | 20.4%22 W · 86 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x556f…f4e4backed Under | 73c | 19.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Under | 72c | 14.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.30per pick | 62cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Senegal vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5this page
- Senegal vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Senegal vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.