Tennis · resolved market
Miami Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Lilli Tagger
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3cab99f5b8c8b7049b1cdceba6aec847d88f1590e810c34c65e51a20a145ab2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ekaterina Alexandrovaof Ekaterina Alexandrova, Lilli Tagger
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,726 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Lilli Tagger | 14c | 6,013$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.55 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Ekaterina Alexandrova | 68c | 4,365$2,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.86 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Lilli Tagger | 0c | 4,088$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60fc…03b0backed Ekaterina Alexandrova | 60c | 3,391$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.91 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f0…be32backed Lilli Tagger | 48c | 2,669$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.33 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Ekaterina Alexandrova | 67c | 2,256$1,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.98 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Lilli Tagger | 20c | 2,230$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.77 | 199 | 38.2%76 W · 123 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ekaterina Alexandrova | 61c | 1,562$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.99 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Lilli Tagger | 32c | 1,468$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.76 | 203 | 36%73 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Lilli Tagger | 23c | 1,415$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.29 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Lilli Tagger | 24c | 1,231$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.95 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Lilli Tagger | 31c | 1,100$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.99 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lilli Tagger | 37c | 1,052$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.35 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Lilli Tagger | 33c | 1,000$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lilli Tagger | 36c | 930.62$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.86 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Lilli Tagger | 32c | 803$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.96 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lilli Tagger | 32c | 701$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.76 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad6…caadbacked Lilli Tagger | 6c | 625.31$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Lilli Tagger | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 440 | 38.4%169 W · 271 L | -27.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Ekaterina Alexandrova | 70c | 574.59$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.59 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4890…03f1backed Lilli Tagger | 5c | 500$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 99 | 16.2%16 W · 83 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Ekaterina Alexandrova | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed Lilli Tagger | 32c | 394$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Lilli Tagger | 34c | 390.25$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.69 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Lilli Tagger | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Ekaterina Alexandrova | 66c | 330$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Lilli Tagger | 31c | 326.74$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.84 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf709…c75cbacked Lilli Tagger | 32c | 325.18$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.06 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Lilli Tagger | 30c | 324.29$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.29 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Lilli Tagger | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked Lilli Tagger | 14c | 265.85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Lilli Tagger | 27c | 248.54$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.11 | 661 | 39.3%260 W · 401 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Ekaterina Alexandrova | 78c | 239.94$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.01 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Ekaterina Alexandrova | 54c | 228.02$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.89 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Lilli Tagger | 32c | 222$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lilli Tagger | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Ekaterina Alexandrova | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…f75abacked Lilli Tagger | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 327 | 63.9%209 W · 118 L | +15.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Ekaterina Alexandrova | 70c | 143$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Lilli Tagger | 15c | 131.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Lilli Tagger | 13c | 128.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…3ee9backed Ekaterina Alexandrova | 70c | 122.71$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.81 | 119 | 61.3%73 W · 46 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Ekaterina Alexandrova | 69c | 115.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Ekaterina Alexandrova | 69c | 101.45$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 711 | 65.1%463 W · 248 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Lilli Tagger | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Lilli Tagger | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 108 | 35.2%38 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Lilli Tagger | 33c | 92.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 140 | 28.6%40 W · 100 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Lilli Tagger | 33c | 79.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Lilli Tagger | 33c | 75.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Ekaterina Alexandrova | 69c | 71.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 534 | 57.7%308 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ff…9401backed Ekaterina Alexandrova | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1c…0e0cbacked Lilli Tagger | 16c | 69.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Lilli Tagger | 26c | 67.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 363 | 33.9%123 W · 240 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Lilli Tagger | 30c | 65.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Lilli Tagger | 32c | 58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Ekaterina Alexandrova | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 599 | 65.8%394 W · 205 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Lilli Tagger | 31c | 50.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Ekaterina Alexandrova | 71c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 355 | 59.4%211 W · 144 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Lilli Tagger | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x899e…0863backed Ekaterina Alexandrova | 73c | 41.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb9…eb4ebacked Lilli Tagger | 32c | 39.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…c161backed Ekaterina Alexandrova | 53c | 36.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Ekaterina Alexandrova | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1951…7542backed Ekaterina Alexandrova | 67c | 29.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x157e…7acabacked Ekaterina Alexandrova | 70c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 261 | 69.3%181 W · 80 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Ekaterina Alexandrova | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aec…6e19backed Ekaterina Alexandrova | 71c | 21.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…4132backed Ekaterina Alexandrova | 69c | 14.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.