Fifa International · resolved market
Egypt to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad8da2c8230a640b2d67d3ff70fda0feca6749372dbf5f4bce0bc6cabd2aff46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,042
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,780
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,042 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 36c | 10,283$3,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,658.41 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked No | 69c | 6,794$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,093.67 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…044abacked No | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.99 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 30c | 4,421$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.07 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 5c | 3,085$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.79 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 64c | 2,455$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.34 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969a…59ddbacked No | 64c | 2,360$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.77 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 72c | 2,317$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.75 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 36c | 2,311$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.29 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…e8a8backed Yes | 28c | 2,138$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de4…fababacked Yes | 32c | 2,000$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635 | 78 | 21.8%17 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 64c | 1,707$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.46 | 250 | 38.8%97 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf88d…d67dbacked No | 63c | 1,500$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.57 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 64c | 1,259$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.17 | 431 | 45.2%195 W · 236 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed No | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 195 | 45.6%89 W · 106 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 64c | 999.99$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 31c | 721.86$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.52 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…9665backed Yes | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 284 | 44.4%126 W · 158 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed No | 72c | 598.39$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked No | 63c | 400$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.05 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 64c | 395.56$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.46 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 4c | 346.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 512 | 28.9%148 W · 364 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 65c | 301.39$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.44 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed No | 64c | 285$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43c3…814bbacked Yes | 43c | 232.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5183…d4dabacked No | 72c | 215.5$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.34 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed No | 62c | 211$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.18 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1641…3781backed Yes | 38c | 211$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.18 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -6.7wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…3287backed Yes | 30c | 209.1$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.73 | 210 | 48.6%102 W · 108 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 74c | 202$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.75 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 65c | 198$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.42 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 64c | 198$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.38 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 65c | 197.21$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.14 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 17c | 184.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 36c | 178.23$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.16 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 10c | 163.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc46…79c4backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…8e1cbacked Yes | 34c | 147.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +8.3wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x66bb…cd52backed Yes | 15c | 134.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 331 | 23.6%78 W · 253 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 64c | 132$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.39 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8e…22ebbacked Yes | 29c | 120.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 92 | 33.7%31 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf24a…45b1backed Yes | 31c | 112.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…faa7backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 48c | 104.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.46 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…2152backed No | 64c | 103.17$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4020…11d1backed Yes | 37c | 94.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 158 | 53.2%84 W · 74 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e8…5cd6backed Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5f…6ee5backed No | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked No | 65c | 78.82$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 381 | 55.4%211 W · 170 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 64c | 65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b89…87babacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 67c | 50.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccb9…4718backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 135 | 37%50 W · 85 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 197 | 60.4%119 W · 78 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e2…3ad5backed No | 69c | 34.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 64c | 26.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 481 | 54.9%264 W · 217 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 63c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed No | 75c | 14.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Egypt to win the second half?this page
- Australia to win the second half?Yes won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Second half draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.