Asian League · resolved market
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb86f9a80cea8cebab1c93c0c7e835d36f4d5e53d9dd4c325c1e95a19de706c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,331
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,738
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,331 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb209…b744backed Under | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 1c | 4,945$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.45 | 193 | 40.9%79 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 66c | 3,030$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.3 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 71cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed Under | 34c | 2,455$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.48 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 2,446$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.58 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 35c | 1,364$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.49 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 66c | 1,053$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.4 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 34c | 968.62$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.33 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 65c | 929.2$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.22 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed Over | 56c | 853.88$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.04 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa1…792fbacked Over | 56c | 801.44$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 674.99$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.25 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 21c | 571.34$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.9 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 48c | 509.99$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.08 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…044abacked Under | 49c | 499.99$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.99 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 44c | 447.35$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.88 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe12…728fbacked Over | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…edacbacked Over | 51c | 431.37$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.37 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Under | 48c | 399.97$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.99 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…fb43backed Under | 44c | 341.61$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 43c | 325.64$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.02 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 49c | 318.39$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.01 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbf…c53cbacked Under | 46c | 308.63$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 49c | 302.76$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b99…8f62backed Over | 63c | 302.63$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.53 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 61c | 213.7$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.6 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +15.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 48c | 200$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…d7a1backed Under | 14c | 195.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…802bbacked Under | 13c | 172.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +7.7wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6f…1dfebacked Over | 52c | 146.55$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.34 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 49c | 140$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 45c | 119.58$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.41 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 61c | 99.65$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.62 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Over | 49c | 96.26$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +150.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x572c…c28fbacked Over | 50c | 93.49$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.93 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 51c | 93.35$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.74 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 52c | 93$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.64 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 15c | 85.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…6e97backed Under | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e8…5cd6backed Over | 65c | 74.74$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 47c | 74.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 49c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 53c | 54.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 57c | 53.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Under | 45c | 34.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…131dbacked Under | 51c | 31.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 52c | 29.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 51c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 43c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 59c | 24.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 51c | 20.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 52c | 19.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x663c…194cbacked Over | 65c | 15.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-2.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-1.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-2.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Shanghai Haigang FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Yunnan Yukun FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Yunnan Yukun FC O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.